I must admit I have no idea about Ohio though, Pennsylvania's western inferior is a tricky one!
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Ohio will fall to Bush. The minorities there have been so jaded politically that they will have low voter turnout. The unions are also becoming less powerful as they are becoming more distant from the factory workers they represent. Kerry also doesn't endear himself to catholics (traditional democrats), he just doesn't seem able to convey that he thinks his religious beliefs should have no bearing on politics. Which I personally believe is wrong since your moral beliefs are no different than your beliefs on world trade or education reform.
Therefore all that remains is the conservative moralist voters, which will assuredly choose Bush.
I find these debates so unwatchable. How do you yanks manage it?
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I actually like the town hall forum of debate better than a straight one-on-one forum. Candidates seem more alive when they move around and stand in the open rather than sitting behind a desk or standing at a podium. I don't know, maybe it's different interest in different issues.