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World Affairs Prediction Game
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Herodotus View Drop Down
Samurai
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Posts: 130 		  Quote Herodotus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: World Affairs Prediction Game
    Posted: 14-May-2005 at 09:46

Originally posted by Genghis

The Missing Iraqi WMD's will be found under some sand.  Odds: 8,000,000:1

ACCEPT: 1 DOLLAR
"Dieu est un comdien jouant une assistance trop effraye de rire."
"God is a comedian playing to an audience too afraid to laugh."
-Francois Marie Arouet, Voltaire

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Posts: 3987 		  Quote hugoestr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-May-2005 at 09:22
Originally posted by Jalisco Lancer


1 Offer: Lopez Obrador becomes PRD's presidential candidate defeating Cardenas.
Odds 2:1 I bet 20 USD.

2 Offer: Lopez Obrador wins the presidential elections in 2006.
Odds 2:1

3 Offer: Mexico will become more oriented towards Brazil, Argentina, Spain, Venezuela and Cuba.
Odds 2:1

4 Offer: The USA will recognize a left goverment in Mexico. US policies towards Latin America are merely focused on accusing Venezuela and Cuba.
Odds 2:1


You cannot bet yourself, Jalisco. Someone else has to accept it. And remember that all of these things have to occur before the coming Wednesday.

After knowing this, modify of write a post sticking to your odds. Then I may accept some
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cattus View Drop Down
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Posts: 1803 		  Quote cattus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-May-2005 at 01:27
hmm, any takers?
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Posts: 2656 		  Quote Genghis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-May-2005 at 00:50
The Missing Iraqi WMD's will be found under some sand.  Odds: 8,000,000:1
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Jalisco Lancer View Drop Down
Sultan
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Posts: 2112 		  Quote Jalisco Lancer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 18:11
Originally posted by Genghis

Offer: Hugo Chavez will travel to Cuba and denounce Bush there


Odds:5:1



Did you notice that the US was not invited to the south american / arab meeting ?

The countries scheduled to meet at Brazil are:

from South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guiana, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay, Venezuela.
from the Arab world: Algeria, Bahrein, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Suriname, Syria, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.
Some concerns from Israel and the United States have been raised since the announcement of the meeting. However the Brazilian Minister of Foreign Relations, Celso Amorim, said that the meeting is intended as a forum to discuss only cooperation between the two regions and it is not a political attack on Israel. "It is a meeting of two regions, which will discuss mutual cooperation", he says.


The US ambassador in Brazil complained in a bitter way that the US was not invited even as an observator.


Edited by Jalisco Lancer
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Jalisco Lancer View Drop Down
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Posts: 2112 		  Quote Jalisco Lancer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 18:05

1 Offer: Lopez Obrador becomes PRD's presidential candidate defeating Cardenas.
Odds 2:1 I bet 20 USD.

2 Offer: Lopez Obrador wins the presidential elections in 2006.
Odds 2:1

3 Offer: Mexico will become more oriented towards Brazil, Argentina, Spain, Venezuela and Cuba.
Odds 2:1

4 Offer: The USA will recognize a left goverment in Mexico. US policies towards Latin America are merely focused on accusing Venezuela and Cuba.
Odds 2:1

Edited by Jalisco Lancer
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Genghis View Drop Down
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Posts: 2656 		  Quote Genghis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 16:22

Offer: Hugo Chavez will travel to Cuba and denounce Bush there

Odds:5:1
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hugoestr View Drop Down
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Posts: 3987 		  Quote hugoestr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 15:20
If you think that this will happen within the next week, give odds, Jalisco Lancer.
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Jalisco Lancer View Drop Down
Sultan
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Posts: 2112 		  Quote Jalisco Lancer Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 15:02


1 Offer: Lopez Obrador becomes PRD's presidential candidate defeating Cardenas.

2 Offer: Lopez Obrador wins the presidential elections in 2006.

3 Offer: Mexico will become more oriented towards Brazil, Argentina, Spain, Venezuela and Cuba.

4 Offer: The USA will recognize a left goverment in Mexico. US policies towards Latin America are merely focused on accusing Venezuela and Cuba.
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hugoestr View Drop Down
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Posts: 3987 		  Quote hugoestr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 15:01
Let me answer the question that which I already had answered, but somehow didn't get posted:

The deadline is 11:59 GMT. Any deal after this time is voided.

If one goes below zero, one get's $500 to keep playing, but gets a start next to its name to indicate that they have lost it all. By paying $1000 to the pot, one gets to have the start erased.
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Posts: 3987 		  Quote hugoestr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-May-2005 at 14:40
Summary of Bets:

Mixcoalt: A risky one: I'll bet 10:1 that Blair will win the British elections tomorrow.
RESULT: BLAIR WON
Mixcoalt wins 10 from hugoestr and 10 from Catt


Mixcoalt: Venezuela and the USA cut diplomatic ties 5:1
RESULT: TIES HAVE NOT BEEN CUT
Mixcoalt wins 50 from Genghis

OFFER: Iran will announce that they will give up their nuclear program. Odds: 20:1
RESULT: IRAN HAS NOT GIVEN UP THEIR NUCLEAR PROGRAM
Hugoestr wins 100 from Genghis

Winner's Pot: $40

Total = Previous+Fee+Wins+Losses
Hugoestr 1000-10+100-10
Mixcoatl 1000-10+70-0
Catt 1000-10+0-10
Genghis 1000-10+0-150

Round Totals Before adding pot
Hugoestr 1080
Mixcoatl 1060
Catt 980
Genghis 840


Round winner: hugoestr with 1080
Round total for winner plus pot: 1080 + 40

Round Totals
Hugoestr 1120
Mixcoatl 1060
    Catt 980
Genghis 840

Honorable mentions:
Won most bets: Mixcoalt
Loss less money: Mixcoalt


Edited by hugoestr
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cattus View Drop Down
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Posts: 1803 		  Quote cattus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10-May-2005 at 13:24
Forgot about this. Couple of questions hugoestr, it ends tomorrow so how do deadlines on placing work.. and what happens if you eventually go in the hole?
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Genghis View Drop Down
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Posts: 2656 		  Quote Genghis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-May-2005 at 15:06

Originally posted by Mixcoatl

offer: Venezuela and the USA cut diplomatic ties 5:1

I'll bet 50
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Genghis View Drop Down
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Posts: 2656 		  Quote Genghis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-May-2005 at 15:05

Originally posted by hugoestr

OFFER: Iran will announce that they will give up their nuclear program. Odds: 20:1

I'll take that offer and bet you 100, even though I'd be ecstatic if you were correct.



Edited by Genghis
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Guests View Drop Down
Guest
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-May-2005 at 13:45
offer: Venezuela and the USA cut diplomatic ties 5:1

Edited by Mixcoatl
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hugoestr View Drop Down
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Posts: 3987 		  Quote hugoestr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-May-2005 at 09:46
OFFER: Iran will announce that they will give up their nuclear program. Odds: 20:1
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Guest
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-May-2005 at 09:12
ah, ok. In that case everything is in order.
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hugoestr View Drop Down
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Posts: 3987 		  Quote hugoestr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-May-2005 at 08:58
MIxcoatl, the way that I understand it, is that you say that you Blair will win the election.

If Blair keeps his position, which is very probable, I and Catt will give you each 10 virtual dollars next Wednesday. If for some reason Blair loses, then you will have to give both of us 100.
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Guest
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-May-2005 at 06:49
wait, I think I've misunderstood it.
Does my bet mean that I think Blair will win (which is the cause) or that I think Blair doesn't win?
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cattus View Drop Down
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Posts: 1803 		  Quote cattus Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04-May-2005 at 18:46
Originally posted by Mixcoatl

A risky one: I'll bet 10:1 that Blair will win the British elections tomorrow.


I ACCEPT and match hugoestr's 10.
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