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Stalingrad or North Africa?

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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Stalingrad or North Africa?
    Posted: 04-Jan-2009 at 08:24
Originally posted by Red4tribe

 
I would have to respectfully disagree. After Stalingrad, I believe that Germany had no realistic chance of conquering Russia, and Russia was the main player in the war.  If Hitler could not take Russia, he could not win the war, in my opinon, whereas he did not need to succeed in North Africa to win the war.
 
 
Yes, exactly. Stalingrad was the real turning point of the war. After Stalingrad Germans switched to strategic defence and it was before Kursk.
 
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  Quote Temujin Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Jan-2009 at 18:45
Originally posted by Red4tribe

 
Originally posted by Sun Tzu

Kursk was the largest tank battle right??
Yep.
 


no, not necessarily, there was a thread about this some time ago.

either way, i would considder the battle for Moscow as most decisive, but we can say that Leningrad, Moscow and Stalingrad together did their job in reversing the fortune of the Wehrmacht.

however Al Jassas got some point. while i still say Stalingrad as single event was more devastating than the whoel North African campaign, Germany lost innumerable hardware there, and even more en route to it in the meditteranean.
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Jan-2009 at 23:07
Stalingrad has to be seen in light of the whole Caucases Campaign. It was initially a good economy of force action to hold down 250,000 troops from and preventing a complete Soviet collapse in the Caucases; a distinct possibility in late 1942. IIRC initially Chuikov only had 40,000 men under his command. It later became an oppurtunity to destroy a whole German field army. And it did. It was not a fatlal bodyblow to the germans, they were able to restore affairs at Third Kharkov. And launch Kursk, they still had the strategic initaitive.
 
After the fall of N Africa the Germans lost the initiative in the west and never regained it.
The loss of N Africa was a body blow from which there could be no recovery. Stalingrad was still surviavble.
 
Incidentally I agree with Temujin that it was Moscow that was the decisive battle of the war, specifically one engagement at the Moscow-Volga canal when 7th Panzer actually managed to get across and were beaten back by 2nd Shock Army. The breakthrough could not be exploited because they were no reserves. Imaginne if the Afrika Corps divisons had been there, might have made a diff!!! Wild speculation.
 
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 16:08
I also agree with the battleof Moscow (possibly with Leniingrad) on the Eastern front, and would pair that with the battle of Britain in the West.
 
If Germany was to win the war it had to win quickly. The smallest of the powers engaged, it was always bound to lose a long war ... the little guy always does.
 
So the important thing was to stop the initial advances - the 'blitzkriegs' as (Temujiin is I think right here) the West christened them. Britain and Moscow did that.
 
Stalingrad and El Alamein then merely marked the points at which the decelerating German advances finally and inevitably stopped and went into reverse.
 
It's a bit of a tossup which of Stalingrad and Alamein was the more significant, since an important effect on both was the impact on morale (civilian more than military) and each of them had a bigger effect on their own peoples. As a symbol, Alamein in some ways is more potent since it was much more in the nature of a traditional 'We're on the field, you're on the field, let's duke it out' kind of battle.
 
The only possibility for Germany to overcome the USSR (once the initial impetus was lost) would, as some said, have been an overthrow of the Soviet regime. But actually an overthrow of the Nazi regime was more likely, though neither is really realistic. And anyway the lesson of 1917 is that even with Russia taken out, Germany loses a drawn-out war in the end.


Edited by gcle2003 - 06-Jan-2009 at 16:11
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 16:51
What battle of Britain has to do with stopping Germany? It halted Germans air bombardement of England but it it didn't cripple Wermacht. Just compare how much Germans lost in Russia and what they lost during the Russian campaign. The answer is obvious.  Overall, the impacts of the "Western" and "Eastern theaters" of the war are simply not comparable.
 
There simply wasn't any comparable (to the Eastern one) fronts in the West except for a brief time in 1940 and for 10 month starting from 1944.
 
However, I don't agree that the battle of Moscow was as crucial as Stalingrad. Regardless, of the fall of Moscow, operation Barbarossa was coming to an end. German army was too overstretched and exhausted, despite half year of constant victories, German casualties were high as well.
 
However, even after the setback at Moscow, German army had both the advantage and momentum and it was clearly demonstrated during the offence of 1942. Only after Stalingrad came the first time of huge German casualties and large scale retreats and it was the first time when the German army was encircled and decimated.
 
Stalingrad was the real turning point of war.


Edited by Sarmat - 06-Jan-2009 at 16:51
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  Quote Temujin Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 18:00
Operation Seelöwe was the first campaign that wasn't won by Germany, that's the significance of the battle of Britian. it also was an unnecessary waste of many planes and pilots. there's simply no way Germany could not have involved in North africa though. another Italian failure and Italy would have had to quit the Axis. Germany already had to intervene on behalf of Italy against Greece and Yugoslavia, those went well. as Italy was losing ground in North Africa as well, it was nevessary to send German troops there that could change the outcome and prevent an earlier collapse of Italy than it already was. after El Alamein, an evacuation would have been the best bet perhaps, but sealanes were not save for the Axis and retreat was not favoured by Hitler in any case.

back to the eastern front however. Germany without any significant defeat was unable to take both Leningrad and Moscow, which already marked the peak of German land sucesses. Operation Blue, while initially sucessful, stalled in Stalingrad and in the course of Soviet Operations Mars, Uranus and Saturn, Germany lost all gains in the Caucasus and the 6th Army in Stalingrad (Mars between Leningrad and Moscow was a failure).

so far so good. nothing what happened so far on the western front or africa was so far significantly decisive to the outcome of the war. the evacuation of Tunis happened only in 1943 and was the culmination of the overall pointless North African campaign. Stalingrad was the first serious loss of many men and materiel at all and in a shorter period of time than NA until the evacuation of Tunis.

it is a debatte on its own whether or not Moscow or Stalingrad was most decisive. in my opinion the failures of Germany to take Moscow and Leningrad made the operations Mars, Uranus and Saturn only possible. a loss of Moscow would have meant the end of the Soviet Union and war within days or weeks. without the failure of taking Moscow and Leningrad there would have been no Operation Blue in the first place, which only set the stage for the Stalingrad disaster.
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 18:57
Originally posted by Temujin


 a loss of Moscow would have meant the end of the Soviet Union and war within days or weeks.
 
But why? I actually think that it was another miscalculation of Hitler. A loss of Moscow would of course be a serious blow to the Soviet moral, but it wouldn't mean the end of the SU.
 
In fact the Soviet leadership was already prepared for that and all the government headquaters were moved to Kuibyshev (modern Samara) and even Lenin's mummy was transferred to Siberia.
 
So, the Soviet opposition would continue while the German offence was already very weakened.
 
I could imagine the complete collapse, if the fall of Moscow would be, for example, coupled with the succesful assination of Stalin. But fall of Moscow by itself wouldn't mean the ultimate fall of the USSR; it wasn't Poland of France.
 
And also historically speaking Moscow was lost to foreing invaders several times in the past; yet it didn't mean the fall of Russia.
 
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  Quote Temujin Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 19:07
but Stalin descided to stay in the Soviet Union. considderign he reigned by terror, this would have been the signal fire for others to claim his place or call for a change.and the loss of the capital is always a serious blow, in 1812 for example it wasn't, therefore there was no serious result to it. in case of ww2, Moscow was also the crossroads for many railway lines and also fucntioned as supply and adminitsrative center as with every capital. the loss of both Leningrad and Moscow would have meant the complete collapse of west-uralic Russia.
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 19:56
I think that if Hitler was be more rationale towards Russians, Stalin's regime would definitely collapse. However, German occupational policies in the USSR were terrible, so the Soviet people simply didn't have choice but to remain with Stalin as a lesser evil, although it still remained very dubious. Moreover, Stalin at that time first time appealed to the Russian patriotism, reopened the churches and started to talk about "mother Russia" etc. which all contributed a lot to the Russian morale. Finally, there was no alternative figure in the Soviet establishment at this time which could substitute the magnitude of Stalin. So, if he could stay alive after the fall of Moscow the resistance would go on, unless Germans redically change their occupational policies.
 
Yes, Moscow was an important administrative center of course, but the Soviet state could continue to function without it, given also that it was able to keep the core of industrial base and natural resources intact.
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 20:17
Originally posted by Sarmat

What battle of Britain has to do with stopping Germany?
It stopped the Germans Smile. For the first time, as Temujin points out.
 It halted Germans air bombardement of England but it it didn't cripple Wermacht.
It showed you didn't have to cripple the Wehrmacht. It was the begining of the allies taking control of the air. Control of the air gave Germany most of its initial success, just as it would be generally determinative everywhere else. We are talking about WW2 here, not the Napoleonic Wars.
 
It also as I pointed out, meant the war was going to go on for a long time. And if it went on for a long time, Germany was going to lose.
 Just compare how much Germans lost in Russia and what they lost during the Russian campaign. The answer is obvious.  Overall, the impacts of the "Western" and "Eastern theaters" of the war are simply not comparable.
 
There simply wasn't any comparable (to the Eastern one) fronts in the West except for a brief time in 1940 and for 10 month starting from 1944.
Agreed. But irrelevant.
 
However, I don't agree that the battle of Moscow was as crucial as Stalingrad. Regardless, of the fall of Moscow, operation Barbarossa was coming to an end. German army was too overstretched and exhausted, despite half year of constant victories, German casualties were high as well.
 
However, even after the setback at Moscow, German army had both the advantage and momentum and it was clearly demonstrated during the offence of 1942. Only after Stalingrad came the first time of huge German casualties and large scale retreats and it was the first time when the German army was encircled and decimated.
 
Stalingrad was the real turning point of war.
Stalingrad, Alamein and D-Day were when the Germans started to retreat and continued to do so pretty well to the end. However the turning points came not when the Germans started to retreat, but when their initial impetus ran out. After that they were beaten - the details were just details.
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 20:53
The German initial impetus run out at Stalingrad.
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  Quote Al Jassas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 21:38
Hello to you all
 
Actually the effect of allied presence in the west was felt way before June 44. Since Sep 42 Hitler began transferring divisions, good divisions from the east towards NA. By El-Alamain, Germany has already lost several divisions and was on the way to losing an entire tank army plus a powerful corps size infantry (some 15 divisions). Yes those divisions were mere battalions considering Germany had over 200 divisions in the eastern front but even before Kursk began, Hitler was moving ever more troops from the east, some of them were the cream of his soldiers, to Italy and France. In June 43, only 60% of Germany's total number of divisions was allocated to the east compared with 76% the previous year. The contribution was even less in 44 when only 40% of german troops were stationed against Russia despite having 57% of the number of divisions (most were only on paper). Many Waffen-SS units were pulled from Russia before 43 ended. Saying that NA or Italy didn't affect the Germans isn't true. Plus, Russian only really began making massive victories in that period of fighting from June 44 until May when 60% of German troops were in the west.
 
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 22:11
Sorry, dear Al Jassas, but the information you have given is complitely false. The majority of the German troops was always on the Eastern Front even after Allied landind in June of 1944. Germans also weren't transferring any combat divisions from the East unless there was an extreme necessity (which existed only in a very few cases) in fact they kept transferring troops from the West to the East even after the second fron was open. Usually what was sent to the West were reseve units with limited combat experience and all the best troops were kept in the East.
By April 1945 there were around 2 million Germans fighting on the Eastern Front and 1 million in the West. The highest perecentage of German ground forces which was employed in the West vs the East was 40 vs 60%.
Finally, the fighting in the East was always much more brutal and intense in the East than in the West.


Edited by Sarmat - 06-Jan-2009 at 22:28
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Jan-2009 at 22:25
 
 
Throughout the entire period from 22 June 1941 through 6 June 1944, Germany

devoted its greatest strategic attention and the bulk of its military resources to action on

its Eastern Front. During this period, Hitler maintained a force of almost 4 million

German and other Axis troops in the East fighting against a Red Army force that rose in

strength from under 3 million men in June 1941 to over 6 million in the summer of 1944.

While over 80 percent of the Wehrmacht fought in the East during 1941 and 1942, over 60

percent continued to do so in 1943 and 1944 (see Figure 2).

Figure 2. Scope of Operations

                  AXIS FORCES                                             RED ARMY FORCES

June 1941: 3,767,000                                                2,680,000 (in theater)

                  3,117,000 (German)                                  5,500,000 (overall)

                  900,000 (in the west)

June 1942: 3,720,000                                                  5,313,000

                   2,690,000 (German)

                   80 % in the East

July 1943: 3,933,000                                                    6,724,000

                 3,483,000 (German)

                  63 % in the East

June 1944 3,370,000                                                   6,425,000

                  2,520,000 (German)

                   62 % in the East

Jan. 1945 2,330,000                                                   6,532,000

                2,230,000 (German)

                60 % in the East

April 1945 1,960,000                                                  6,410,000

Total Mobilized 34,476,700

In January 1945 the Axis fielded over 2.3 million men, including 60 percent of the

Wehrmacht’s forces and the forces of virtually all of its remaining allies, against the Red

Army, which had a field-strength of 6.5 million soldiers. In the course of the ensuing

winter campaign, the Wehrmacht suffered 500,000 losses in the East against 325,000 in

the West. By April 1945, 1,960,000 German troops faced the 6.4 million Red Army

troops at the gates of Berlin, in Czechoslovakia, and in numerous isolated pockets to the

east, while 4 million Allied forces in western Germany faced under 1 million Wehrmacht

soldiers. In May 1945 the Soviets accepted the surrender of almost 1.5 million German

soldiers, while almost 1 million more fortunate Germans soldiers surrendered to the

British and Americans, including many who fled west to escape the dreaded Red Army.

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  Quote Anton Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07-Jan-2009 at 01:50
Originally posted by Sarmat

 
This is again just a baseless speculation which complitely doesn't make sense. Why would Stalin transfer forces to a remote region without stragegic importance while there was a direct threat to the real vital centers of the USSR? Vladivoskok was called Vladivostok you know not Stalinovostok.
 
 
But if large territories be captured Soviet Army would loose quite a lot of people resources as far as I understand. Yes, many refugees probably would join the army but the organized recruitment would be destroyed. Besides, correct me if I am wrong, but the whole country worked for the army by supplying food and loss of territories would again cause problems with food supply.
 
I agree with Temujin that loss of Moscow and Leningrad would seriously worsen SU positions.
 
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  Quote Red4tribe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07-Jan-2009 at 02:53
As gcle said, if Germany was going to win, it had to win quick, and I believe, that after the defeat at Moscow any hope of taking the Soviet Union was a bit unrealistic. But Stalingrad sealed the deal. It was the turning point. After Stalingrad there could be no Germany victory, the loss of man power was too great. After Stalingrad it was only a matter of time before the Soviet Union defeated Germany. As I said before, North Africa was a crushing defeat, but it did not mean the end of the war against the US and Britain, whereas Stalingrad did, against the SU.
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07-Jan-2009 at 10:21
I disagree. The Germans were able to wrest back the strategic initiave after Stalingrad. The reetok Kharkov and destroyed the Soviet Offensives outside Moscow (Operation Mars) and were able to launch a major offensive at Kursk. Stalingrad was a set back, it was not the turning point.
 
After El-Amein and the fall of Tunis 6 months later the Germans were always on the defensive in the West. A whole Army Group was lost in Africa and later tied down in Italy. Stalingrad was recoverable, N Africa was'nt.
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07-Jan-2009 at 11:20
Originally posted by Sarmat

The German initial impetus run out at Stalingrad.
 
Then how come they didn't occupy London?
 
Apart from that, they were definitely stopped in front of Moscow and Leningrad.
 
When you stop, your impetus has run out.
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07-Jan-2009 at 11:22
Originally posted by Sarmat

Finally, the fighting in the East was always much more brutal and intense in the East than in the West.
 
That has nothing to do with the question.
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  Quote Sarmat Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07-Jan-2009 at 14:38
Originally posted by gcle2003

Originally posted by Sarmat

The German initial impetus run out at Stalingrad.
 
Then how come they didn't occupy London?
 
Apart from that, they were definitely stopped in front of Moscow and Leningrad.
 
When you stop, your impetus has run out.
 
You contradict yourself. You say that their impetus run out at London, then you say they stopped in front of Moscow and Leningrad.
 
I can only add that after Moscow and Leningrad they have repelled a large Soviet offensive and afterall were constantly driving to the East until they reached Caucasus and only after Stalingrad they stopped.
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