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Idanthyrus
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Topic: China vs US Posted: 15-Sep-2005 at 15:52 |
Does it really matter exactly how many carriers the USN has? I mean not all of them would be in the pacific at the time of a war anyway. Hypothetically the US 7th fleet would, at least at the beginning, be the front line of any conflict as it is about 17 steaming days closer to locations in Asia than its counterparts based in the continental U.S. and it only has one carrier, the U.S.S. Kitty Hawk...
Edited by Idanthyrus
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JiNanRen
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Posted: 24-Aug-2005 at 01:22 |
Originally posted by CivilianAmerican
Wrong the USN has 12 active Carriers with the 13th having it's keel being laid. This us per:
http://www.chinfo.navy.mil/navpalib/ships/carriers/cv-list1. html
This is the most recent and updated news. The 13th carrier will
replace the USS Enterprise near or around 2014. So to confirm the US
has 12 active Carriers and 1 being built.
Thats FACT! |
the USN does have 12 carriers but keep in mind that 3 carriers are
always being maintained at the same time so normally only 9 carriers
are operational at one time.
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JiNanRen
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Posted: 24-Aug-2005 at 01:18 |
Originally posted by Singaporean
Originally posted by Idanthyrus
Originally posted by coolstorm
n. korea, burma, pakistan, and singapore (have been a middleman
between china and the us but in case of an all scale war, they will
back their brothers, sisters, and blood relatives. the singaporean
fouding father is very closely tied to mainland china) will
probably side with china.
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I find it unlikly that Burma or Singapore would take China's side
agaist the US. The US has a major strategic alliance with Singapore,
and Burma has a long history of being politically neutral.
Pakistan would almost definatly side with the US. Malaysia would
probably take sides against who ever Singapore would ally herself
with. Likewise with Indonesia, while they would be glade to see China
fall they would be unlikly to side with the US, especially if Australia
intervened on the US's behalf. The positions North Korea, South Korea,
the Philipenes and Japan are self-evident. India has no love for
China but would probably stay neutral, same with Russia. Vietnam has a
long history of conflict with China, they might help the US secretly,
difficult to say.
Originally posted by coolstorm
any of the following planes can match:
su27, su30, su33, su35, j11, j12
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Besides the Su-27, China has no significant number of any of those
aircraft. They are on the way up however, China's airforce has
definatly come a long way over the last decade. |
Singapore will probably side with US I agree but Singapore will
probably stay neutral since they want to maintain their bilateral
relations with China and the US. And If Vietnam wants to assist US in
the war, Vietnam would probably have to ask for permission from the
ASEAN members before proceeding any major acts.
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Let me clear it up. The Chinese PLAAF has 76 Russian imported
Su-27Sk/UBKs and has produced 105 Su-27SK(designated J-11s) under license plus a small
number of J-11A(su-27s with domestic contents). China also
imported 76 Su-30MKK fighter-bombers and 24 Su-30MK2 naval strike
fighters. It also produced at least up to 50 indigenous J-10A
fighters.
So all together China has around 400 4th generation fights jets that presents a serious threat in the far east.
China NEVER imported Su-33/35/37s and the J-12 program is not even on the prototype stage yet.
Edited by JiNanRen
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sinosword
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Posted: 23-Aug-2005 at 23:53 |
What will happen when war break out between U.S. and(you could type any country's name here) and who will win? The person who need to ask such question really should go back to elementary school.
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Singaporean
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Posted: 23-Aug-2005 at 19:46 |
Originally posted by Idanthyrus
Originally posted by coolstorm
n. korea, burma, pakistan, and singapore (have been a middleman
between china and the us but in case of an all scale war, they will
back their brothers, sisters, and blood relatives. the singaporean
fouding father is very closely tied to mainland china) will
probably side with china.
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I find it unlikly that Burma or Singapore would take China's side
agaist the US. The US has a major strategic alliance with Singapore,
and Burma has a long history of being politically neutral.
Pakistan would almost definatly side with the US. Malaysia would
probably take sides against who ever Singapore would ally herself
with. Likewise with Indonesia, while they would be glade to see China
fall they would be unlikly to side with the US, especially if Australia
intervened on the US's behalf. The positions North Korea, South Korea,
the Philipenes and Japan are self-evident. India has no love for
China but would probably stay neutral, same with Russia. Vietnam has a
long history of conflict with China, they might help the US secretly,
difficult to say.
Originally posted by coolstorm
any of the following planes can match:
su27, su30, su33, su35, j11, j12
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Besides the Su-27, China has no significant number of any of those
aircraft. They are on the way up however, China's airforce has
definatly come a long way over the last decade. |
Singapore will probably side with US I agree but Singapore will
probably stay neutral since they want to maintain their bilateral
relations with China and the US. And If Vietnam wants to assist US in
the war, Vietnam would probably have to ask for permission from the
ASEAN members before proceeding any major acts.
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Guests
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Posted: 11-Apr-2005 at 19:45 |
Wrong the USN has 12 active Carriers with the 13th having it's keel being laid. This us per:
http://www.chinfo.navy.mil/navpalib/ships/carriers/cv-list1. html
This is the most recent and updated news. The 13th carrier will replace the USS Enterprise near or around 2014. So to confirm the US has 12 active Carriers and 1 being built.
Thats FACT!
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coolstorm
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Posted: 11-Apr-2005 at 19:27 |
Originally posted by CivilianAmerican
Illuminati Answers to Illuminati from his post above 3rd down from page 1.
China's navy consists of the exact kinds of ships that would fail against a Carrier Force. The US has over 20 carriers. Battleships, Crusiers, Destroyers.....all can be destroyed by Carriers before they even get close enough to fire at the Carriers. Ever since WW2 started....Carriers have always been the way to go.
While I agree with most of what you said some of you facts are a bit off, the US has only 11 active carriers, as you can see here:
http://www.chinfo.navy.mil/navpalib/ships/carriers/cv-list1. html
I know they have maybe one Carrier in mothballs, alot of DDG's and few CG's. No BB's though, but you never know though, I thought the last BB was turned into a museum.
Obviously I agree with this: F-22 is the most advanced fighter in the world and also incorporates stealth tech
But Congress just gave Lockhead the go ahead and finacing to build these very recently. Unfortunatly these are meant to replace the F15 Strike eagle and the F16 fighting Falcon, Air Force jets. I think the Eagle for sure, dont know yet about the F16. So they would never be deployed in time to make a difference if war broke out within a year or so. if so it would be in limited numbers.
The Joint Strike Fight will though replace the Tomcats if I am not mistake, they are in the 4 year testing phase right now. Possibly being depoyable around 2008 maybe 7, not sure.
Thats all...
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well, i can tell u made up that article. everyone knows the us has 9 aircraft carriers. not 20.
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Posted: 11-Apr-2005 at 18:14 |
Illuminati Answers to Illuminati from his post above 3rd down from page 1.
China's navy consists of the exact kinds of ships that would fail against a Carrier Force. The US has over 20 carriers. Battleships, Crusiers, Destroyers.....all can be destroyed by Carriers before they even get close enough to fire at the Carriers. Ever since WW2 started....Carriers have always been the way to go.
While I agree with most of what you said some of you facts are a bit off, the US has only 11 active carriers, as you can see here:
http://www.chinfo.navy.mil/navpalib/ships/carriers/cv-list1. html
I know they have maybe one Carrier in mothballs, alot of DDG's and few CG's. No BB's though, but you never know though, I thought the last BB was turned into a museum.
Obviously I agree with this: F-22 is the most advanced fighter in the world and also incorporates stealth tech
But Congress just gave Lockhead the go ahead and finacing to build these very recently. Unfortunatly these are meant to replace the F15 Strike eagle and the F16 fighting Falcon, Air Force jets. I think the Eagle for sure, dont know yet about the F16. So they would never be deployed in time to make a difference if war broke out within a year or so. if so it would be in limited numbers.
The Joint Strike Fight will though replace the Tomcats if I am not mistake, they are in the 4 year testing phase right now. Possibly being depoyable around 2008 maybe 7, not sure.
Thats all...
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Posted: 11-Apr-2005 at 17:42 |
Also to add a couple more things, Tiawan is not totally a whimp at all. They have American F-16's, I think and other considerable US hardware, like PAC 3's. I know they want more and hopefully that big deal will come through so we arm them.
If they get the KIDD Class DDG's like they want it only makes it much more harder for China. If China plans this right around the US they very well could pull it off, and when the US shows up China has 1mill troopes in Tiawan killing everyone.
The only this that really scares me is that China never signed MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction). I may be wrong.
Peace...
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Posted: 11-Apr-2005 at 17:35 |
I also agree with Idanthyrus, it might not be worth it. If the US goes ahead and place a/the new Carrier Strike Group in Guam, China has a lesser chance.
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Posted: 11-Apr-2005 at 17:33 |
I cant see how China could possibly defeat the US in any but a land warfare situation on Chinese soil. Here is how I would break this down if action between these 2 nations came to light.
#1 China would begin it's surprise invasion of Tiawan, probably when the KittyHawk Carrier Strike Group is away and not ported in Japan, right now there in South Korea for a visit and to play war games.
#2 The US would respond with Immediate diplomatic pressure to and from it's allies within hours, then they would move the Kitty Hawk Strike Group back into position if it isnt already and sent more Strike Groups there asap. Here is what China lacks: The US can launch stikes and sorties from the strike Group well out of China's strike or response range. The US would also deploy immediate B-2 stealth strikes on China, the B-2's can strike with a 24 hour window. Mostlikely they will strike hardened comm lines, radar positions and whatnot, essentially they will turn the lights out on China very fast and very swift. The US would also launch it's B1B Lancer bombers that it has in South Korea. Once the lights and comm/radar are out, China is in trouble coordinating a succesful attack on the US Naval positions.
#3 If Tiawan can hold out from a major air, missle, and amphibious attack for at least 72 hours, then by that time the US would have 1 Strike Group there and the 2nd soon to be positioned, if they hold out long enough for 3 carrier strike groups to be in position then China is in big trouble. Not only in 24 hours will B-2 Stealths attack but they will have 2 runs at it in 48 hours not to mention Lancer strikes taking off within the US and F117 strikes. And US heavy bombers, hey take the lights out and China's wide open for nothing but Tomahawk, bombers strikes, and cruise missle strikes from either Naval Flotilla assets, US based assets or SSBN's within the area.
#4. Now China sea power, the new Soverimty DDG's that come from Russia, everyone says that they can take out carriers with a heartbeat. Thats true they have 4 missle they carry called Sunburns (NATO Codename, I think), low level high speed heavy missles capable of damaging a carrier considerably. Now I have been chatting US Navy boards that say the Kidd class and the Aegis equiped Arleigh Burke class DDG's have the capability of shooting those missles down with either their missles or the last defence Phalanx system. The problem with that is that the US can strike from twice the distance than China DDG's can, that mean that China will never have a chance to target us because we will stay outside their range. We would simply launch Tomahawk or Cruise missle at them and take them out.
To end this if Tiawan can hold out for 48 to 72 hours then China's in trouble Naval wise, if not and one carrier strike group is in the region when it happens the one strike group will have a hard time stopping all of China assents at once. Frankly I think China will get ruled by the F18 Falcons and Tomcats, if China's fighter jets try to attack the Carrier Strike Group it's suicide. If China lauches a surgical Nuke on the US Carrier Strike Group the SSBN's will launch a nuclear strike package and it will be over very fast. There is no doubt they will either be in the area or very close, the US dont play on this, it's called Theater Force Deterrance.
Personally I think it depends on how well Tiawan does and what assets or in that region. If we have assets that are close Like a Strike Group then it's a good fight, if 2 Strike Groups within 48 hours, China's in trouble.
Just my opinion.....
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Posted: 09-Apr-2005 at 15:43 |
Im sorry to heard the word "invade" . Would use the same word to California if it separate form US? I don't think so.
And we do know that US millitary is much stronger than China, but is not the point we considered.
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Idanthyrus
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Posted: 07-Apr-2005 at 14:12 |
The question is, is fear of the US millitary deterence enough to keep China from ever trying to invade Taiwan? Obviously neither country desires a war while trade is so profitable, but if one countries hand is forced, then they will have no choice but to respond or they would appear weak in the eyes of the world. Too much at stake for both countries for either to let it go quietly.
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coolstorm
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 19:09 |
like i said, war is not only fought by weapons but also by economic means.
a war between the us and china is simply not likely to happen because it will create an economic crisis to the entire globe.
the us military is superior to everyone else's as of today. but it certainly cannot any war with any major power.
only small countries like iraq, north korea, iran should worry about fighting the us for their lack of influence on a global basis.
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Gubook Janggoon
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 18:46 |
Originally posted by Chinese never want a war
But I consider that US didnt bomb China because of U.S.S.R, but not
the great restraint you said. US was afraid of a
total war to U.S.S.R. |
Which was the cause of restraint. A fear of the USSR.
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 18:42 |
Yes, but for China, its a successful war.
But I consider that US didnt bomb China because of U.S.S.R, but not the great restraint you said. US was afraid of a total war to U.S.S.R.
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Riain
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 18:06 |
China didn't win Korea of Vietnam, both of these resulted in a stalemate and political settlement, because the USA used great restraint in both of these wars, it didn't go and bomb china even though it had the capability. Chinese help led to these stalemates, in a similar way that US restraint also did.
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 17:42 |
Remember that how China won the war Vietnam and Korea.
In Korean War we even had not a plane.
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Illuminati
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 16:42 |
China's Navy is overall not as advanced as the US Navy. The US has the
most advanced carriers, Naval combat planes, and subs in the world (though its debatable, because Russian subs are really good).
China is in an early stage of development with their navy.
China's navy consists of the exact kinds of ships that would fail
against a Carrier Force. The US has over 20 carriers. Battleships,
Crusiers, Destroyers.....all can be destroyed by Carriers before they
even get close enough to fire at the Carriers. Ever since WW2
started....Carriers have always been the way to go.
And the US Navy gravely outnhumbers the Chinese Navy.
Now....to Air Force. China may have a bigger Air Force, but when
comparing technology and Planes........the US wins. primarily because
the US has stealth technology. The F-22 is the msot advanced fighter in
the world and also incorporates stealth tech. Not to mention the
Stealth bombers the US has.
Russia has always feared these, and Russia is more advanced militarily than China is.
Land War........its would be bad, I don't think anyone can adequately
for see this. BUT, the battles woudl not be fought on US soil becasue
the Chinese have no way to get to America. Their Air Force and Navy is
no capable of defeating the US Navy and Air Force in order to land
troops in America.
Edited by Illuminati
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coolstorm
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Posted: 05-Apr-2005 at 11:59 |
Originally posted by Riain
i don't belive those sort of equations, they tend to count weapons numbers and arrive at these figures. In the real world Chinas lomg range nukes would come under attack in the first seconds of a potentail nuke war in a damage limitation counterforce attack. In addition a decent proportion of nukes would never be used, but held in reserve for rivals such as India, Russia etc., further limiting the numbers of nukes these 2 could use on each other. Also, rockets fail, planes get shot down, nukes don't detonate - taking another chunk out of the grand total. This means that the number of nukes which would hit the US is far smaller than is supposed, and the US margin over China is greater than supposed.
Just to clarify things, in 1962 SAC advised Kennedy that they were 90% certain of destroying 100% of the SUs nukes, or 100% of getting 90% in a first strike. That's 43 years ago, what are they capable of now with a similar adversary.
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in 1938, hitler was also advised that he could destroy 100 % of allies forces with japanese and italian joining his aggression, and that's 60 years ago. what are they capable of now with a similar adversary?
they don't even exist now. i'm sorry to say this but you are thinking as what u believe were true and the us was the only country that has made any sorta advancement.
i tell you what, the soviet union also thought that they could take down the entire us and its nuclear counter attack ability in the first strike.
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