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Omar al Hashim
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Topic: Turkey 2006 Posted: 21-Jul-2007 at 23:35 |
Originally posted by Cryptic
That is very interesting. Undoubtably, there have been some
Greek Christian to Muslim shifts, but the degree implied seems to be
high. I still think there are a few "missing Christians", especially
from the Eastern regions. But as you mentioned, the total number is
still going to be small and include a statistical error rate |
Surprisingly, I agree with you on this. I think there are a few missing Christians. I wouldn't be surprised if many of the 0.5% no-religionists are in fact christians who don't want to be identified as such on a big survey. Its fairly typical for minorities to do such a thing. Christianity may be more like 0.15 - 0.2%.
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Beylerbeyi
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 09:07 |
could this be the Rum of the black sea area? |
I think so as well.
Currently, there are some really startling figures circulating, an
Albanian told me there are 5 million Albanians in Turkey a Bosnian gave
me the same figure for Bosnians, Cherkez organisations give numbers in
excess of 10 million sometimes, Tatar-Turk organisations claim there
are some 5-10 million descendants, Kurds give figures of 20 million,
some claim Alevi as being 25 million etc etc |
This is not surprising at all. When talking about descendants. All people in Turkey are mixed, and many people know their mixed ancestry (within 3 generations for most people in Turkey). Take someone whose grandparents are Tatar, Bosniak, Circassian and Albanian. He is a descendant of all these immigrant groups. That is one person, but all the groups can add him as a descendant, so when talking about 2 generations back, you can have the descendants of ethnic groups add up to max 4 times the current population of the country. In 3 generations it would be 8 times etc. However, having a Circassian grandparent does not mean that someone is of Circassian ethnicity. This research defines ethnicity differently, using personal declarations and native language.
Edited by Beylerbeyi - 22-Jul-2007 at 09:10
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Lmprs
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 09:24 |
Originally posted by Beylerbeyi
I personally think one Ufuk Uras in the parliament will do more good for the people than 300 AKP MPs. |
Agreed, Uras is very promising. Baskin Oran is OK too. However, I don't know their stance on the EU.
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Mortaza
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 11:27 |
What is it with these romantic visions of pollitical parties...AKP's stance is just as murky as the others.
I don't see why you act like their media spokesmen, they have strayed so far from "National view" that even their spiritual leader Erbakan is pretty disgusted. It doesn't create a good look for the party, especially when their mentor and pollitical roots leader who has respect in various muslim organisations across the muslim world is openly condemning them.
Bah, Erbakan is just sorry because He lost his power and They are not follower of Erbakan. They fight against erbakan inside of party and after they lost this war, They build AKP.
What is AKP today? religous? nationalist? leftist? on the right? its as if the leaders themselves are confused.
Pragmatists and liberals with a religious background.
I should also say, I dont care how much AKP attack nationalist. I said before We should destory nationalism in Turkey or our country would be divided.
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Beylerbeyi
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 11:48 |
Agreed, Uras is very promising. Baskin Oran is OK too. However, I don't know their stance on the EU. |
Uras is, in one word, perfect. Just watch him destroy Erol Manisali on TV: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1W_woSI8Fbc Oran, on the other hand, is problematical. He is pro-EU, and in my opinion he is more left-liberal than socialist. He divided the radical left, I think he is not a good candidate for us. I'd definitely like to see him in the parliament, he would have been a good candidate for DTP (one of their independents) or a social democratic party (if it existed), or even for AKP (there are some left-liberals and social democrats in AKP) but he's too out of tune with the radical left to be our candidate. I think most of the radical left didn't vote for him.
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Bulldog
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 11:53 |
The figure I'm most suprised about in the findings is the demographic figures given for Kurds, I thought it would be higher. For example a typical reportage on Kurds in various media groups in Europe often claim that there are 20 million Kurds in Turkey.
Infact it had a few figures in the pdf article.
Trkiyede ka kişi kendisini Krt olarak tanımlamaktadır? Avrupa Komisyonunun Trkiye 2004 İlerleme Raporunda sayılarının 15-20 milyon olduğu sylenen; DTPnin Eşbaşkanı Ahmet Trkn 25 milyon Krt szlerindeki sayılar ne kadar doğrudur?
The European Comission inits 2004 report claimed that there were 15-20 million Kurds in Turkey, while a Kurdish party leader claims there to be 25 million.
The findings show these figures to be heavily inflated, a more realistic figure seems to be 10-11 million.
Also the people per household figures were interesting. Around 80% of Turkey has more than two people per house and 7% of Western black sea and 15% of North East Central-Eastern and South East have more than 9 people per household.
It would have been good if they included more information regarding this, is it due to extended families living in the same house, class-income differences, birth rates etc
The study dispells alot of gossip and myths. I was told by some Turks from Turkey that Turks are having no kids while all Kurds have 4 wives and have 30-40 kids. Then some Kurds told me there were 30 million Kurds in Turkey etc etc
Mortaza
Pragmatists and liberals with a religious background.
I should also say, I dont care how much AKP attack nationalist. I said before We should destory nationalism in Turkey or our country would be divided. |
A pragmatist will be Nationalist when needed, AKP will become more nationalist than anyone else when it suits them so I don't see anyone doing anything else than giving lip-service to nationalism.
As for Erbakan, he made Erdogan, some of Erdogan foundation followers will be unhappy with him following Erbakans critisms.
He has a point does he not? Erdogan came to power partly with help of their old religous parties voters, he strayed from their ideals, the headscarf problem wasn't solved etc
Edited by Bulldog - 22-Jul-2007 at 13:05
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What we do for ourselves dies with us. What we do for others and the world remains and is immortal.
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Lmprs
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 12:45 |
Originally posted by Beylerbeyi
Uras is, in one word, perfect. Just watch him destroy Erol Manisali on TV |
Hehe, I know that. If Uras can make it to the parliament, Kemalists will no longer be able to cast a shadow on the left-wing of Turkey.
Originally posted by Beylerbeyi
Oran, on the other hand, is problematical. He is pro-EU, and in my opinion he is more left-liberal than socialist. |
Still, I think he is better than neo - liberal Islamists of AKP, and much better than militarist / corporatist fascists of CHP.
Edited by Feanor - 22-Jul-2007 at 12:51
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Mortaza
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 13:06 |
I always think Oran and Uras divided AKP votes.
Anyway, It looks like AKP gain great success from election..
She almost increased her vote 40%(Now)
Edited by Mortaza - 22-Jul-2007 at 13:09
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Beylerbeyi
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Posted: 22-Jul-2007 at 17:15 |
Hehe, I know that. If Uras can make it to the parliament, Kemalists will no longer be able to cast a shadow on the left-wing of Turkey. |
He made it! Great news.
Still, I think he is better than neo - liberal Islamists of AKP, and much better than militarist / corporatist fascists of CHP. |
That's of course, right.
I always think Oran and Uras divided AKP votes. |
Oran maybe. Uras, not. Because Uras is socialist. His base would not have voted for AKP. Maybe to DTP, but not to AKP.
Anyway, It looks like AKP gain great success from election..
She almost increased her vote 40%(Now) |
Up to 46.6% now. Very good for them.
DTP leader said, 'AKP prevented us from reaching 30 independent candidates'. AKP got very high votes from some Kurdish provinces. 70+% from Bingol, for instance. I don't think they are that smart, but kemalofascists should really be careful, because if they undermine AKP, these votes will go to DTP (and people's sympathies to PKK).
I would really like to see the faces of the stupid kemalofascists in the press who were writing that AKP's votes would become less. They were writing that Dogan media was pro-AKP because they wrote about the Konda poll which predicted AKP getting 48%. Idiots were making fun of it while believing the polls which showed AKP at 25%...
In fact anyone with slightest idea of Turkish history (that is, everyone except kemalofascists) knew this would happen.
Anyway, it seems we have another lesser evil (AKP) government, 20+ Kurds (enough for a DTP party group), and at least 1 socialist. Not bad.
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Cryptic
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Posted: 23-Jul-2007 at 21:41 |
Originally posted by Omar al Hashim
I wouldn't be surprised if many of the 0.5% no-religionists are in fact christians who don't want to be identified as such on a big survey. Its fairly typical for minorities to do such a thing. Christianity may be more like 0.15 - 0.2%.
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Thanks. This point may also explain why the estimate of Christians in Egypt varies so widely. I have seen estimates that list the percentage of Christians in Egypt as less than 10% while other estimates range as high as 20% of the population.
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Beylerbeyi
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Posted: 24-Jul-2007 at 06:11 |
I think there are a few missing Christians. I wouldn't be surprised if many of the 0.5% no-religionists are in fact christians who don't want to be identified as such on a big survey. Its fairly typical for minorities to do such a thing. Christianity may be more like 0.15 - 0.2%. |
I highly doubt this. If they were trying to hide their religious minority status, they would have declared themselves muslim, not non-religious.
Of course, their names give them away in most cases.
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Cryptic
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Posted: 24-Jul-2007 at 13:26 |
double post
Edited by Cryptic - 24-Jul-2007 at 14:38
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Cryptic
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Posted: 24-Jul-2007 at 13:27 |
Originally posted by Beylerbeyi
I think there are a few missing Christians. I wouldn't be surprised if many of the 0.5% no-religionists are in fact christians who don't want to be identified as such on a big survey. Its fairly typical for minorities to do such a thing. Christianity may be more like 0.15 - 0.2%. |
I highly doubt this. If they were trying to hide their religious minority status, they would have declared themselves muslim, not non-religious.
Of course, their names give them away in most cases.
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There is a subtle difference though. Claiming "muslim" means the person has actively renounced their Christian religion. Claiming "no religion" can be justified by the logic "I Christian, but not religous, therefore the category 'no religion' describes me". No religion can vbe the same as "No comment".
Edited by Cryptic - 24-Jul-2007 at 13:29
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Beylerbeyi
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Posted: 24-Jul-2007 at 13:49 |
There is a subtle difference though. Claiming "muslim" means the person has actively renounced their Christian religion. Claiming "no religion" can be justified by the logic "I Christian, but not religous, therefore the category 'no religion' describes me". No religion can vbe the same as "No comment". |
No it cannot. Because the poll was in Turkish, not English and I translated it.
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Lmprs
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Posted: 24-Jul-2007 at 22:32 |
Originally posted by Cryptic
Claiming "no religion" can be justified by the logic "I Christian, but not religous, therefore the category 'no religion' describes me". No religion can vbe the same as "No comment". |
In that case 10%-20% of the total population would say: 'I'm Muslim, but not religious.'
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