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Best way to fight an insurgency

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Jonathan4290 View Drop Down
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  Quote Jonathan4290 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Best way to fight an insurgency
    Posted: 06-Mar-2008 at 04:43

To say an interventionist insurgent war is unwinnable is an overstatement, even advocates on the strength of insurgencies will admit that any insurgency can be defeated. Britain supressed Malaya 1948-1960, America defeated the Philippines 1899-1902, Britain defeated the Boers 1899-1902 etc etc.

The best way to avoid losing an insurgent war is not to enter one unless you have the strategy, resources and will to actually win.
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  Quote Al Jassas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Mar-2008 at 07:49
You have two ways
 
You could either send 20% of the population into concentrations camps, commit corporal punishment on entire districts just because rebelled passed from there including mass murder and rape, starvation and place the rest of the population under curfew. Or you could try to win hearts and minds, approach the war with civility with just a little bit of cruelty to assert authority.
 
The French used the First method in Algeria and the Brits did it in South Africa and both almost succeeded in ending the insurgency but at a horrible cost. Upto hlaf a million in Algeria and nearly 20% of the Boers in South Africa.
 
The Americans did the last in Vietnam and Iraq and they lost in the first and were saved by the brutal civil war in the last. So pick what you want.
 
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  Quote Styrbiorn Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06-Mar-2008 at 07:50
Originally posted by Cryptic

1.) The Union Army secures major towns and roadways by using massed numbers and mass fire power.  This slowly deprives lightly armed Bushwackers freedom of movement etc.  
2.)  Irregular,  Pro Union Jay Hawker militias roam rural areas in small groups on vengeance missions.   They attack Bushwackers and their civilian supporters in their safe areas by using many of the same dirty tactics that the Bushwackers use.   Naturally, Union press only reports Bushwacker atrocitities.   Jayhawker atrocities are also "deniable" because they are not commited by Union Army.
 
Bushwackers and their supporters are then crushed by diplomacy, regular forces and irregular forces.  Increasingly residual resistance lingers for years, but the mass Bushwacker resistance movement is defeated in a relatively short time (two-three years).
 
 
Sounds like what the Yugoslav army tried to do against the KLA/UCK. Doesn't work in the 20th century, if you don't kiss enough US bottom.


Edited by Styrbiorn - 06-Mar-2008 at 07:53
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  Quote Cryptic Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 08-Mar-2008 at 13:30
^ Good point about the world's only super power having freedom to do aything, or to interfere with anything they see fit.
 
The, Serbs, howver, went a little too heavy on the mass "relocation" of civilians and mass destruction of Albanian civilian infrastructure.  They just did not have Lincoln's subtle skills.
 
In the U.S. Civil war example, the Union only used Uhmm..."Relocation" of hostile civilians as an absolute last resort. Likewise, destruction of most civilian infrastructure was avoided as well. It was seen as more advantagous to intergrate Bushwacker areas into the Northern economy as a means to increase local support.
 


Edited by Cryptic - 08-Mar-2008 at 13:44
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  Quote Jonathan4290 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10-Mar-2008 at 00:21
Interesting fact about the Civil War: a subordinate had told Lee that atleast 10,000 Confederate soldiers had volunteered to continue the war against the Union using guerrilla tactics. Lee, obviously, didn't consider it and prevented his soldiers from doing so themselves.
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  Quote Cryptic Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-Mar-2008 at 00:58
^
That is probalby because General Lee saw that guerilla resistance would not lead to victory, but would rather bring more suffering to the south.
 
Also, some (or many) of the "guerillas" were really just thinly disguised bandits. General Lee was probably knowledgable about Bushwacker atrocities in Missouri.  Also, discipline in some Confederate units opposing Sherman in Georgia had collapsed.  These units then started to spend alot of time "borrowing" local property. 


Edited by Cryptic - 12-Mar-2008 at 00:59
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-Mar-2008 at 15:45
Originally posted by pikeshot1600

I have made this point in other threads before:  Interventionist insurgent wars are unwinnable....Algeria, Viet Nam, Afghanistan (USSR version), and perhaps Iraq which is as yet undecided.
 
Domestic insurgencies are a different matter:  The IRA in Ireland; the communists in Greece, the dim-witted "Red Brigades" in Germany and Italy; the insurgent movements in Latin America (so thoroughly squashed in Brazil, Chile and Argentina).  Cuba, an island without contiguous access to other geographies, and thus no real effect, may be an exception.
 
The best way to avoid insurgent wars is to not get into them.
 
     
Thats what I have always believed. War is a political action at its core, and in an interventionist insurgency, the political fall out will be greater. In a domestic insurgency usually, esp if the insurgency is secessionist in nature, people will support it more and allow "what has to be done". In Nigeria, the Bafira rebellion, the Nigerians showed the insurhents and the locals that come hell or high water they would not let their country get broken up, which destroyed the civilian support.
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  Quote Jonathan4290 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-Mar-2008 at 21:59
Originally posted by Sparten

Originally posted by pikeshot1600

I have made this point in other threads before:  Interventionist insurgent wars are unwinnable....Algeria, Viet Nam, Afghanistan (USSR version), and perhaps Iraq which is as yet undecided.
 
Domestic insurgencies are a different matter:  The IRA in Ireland; the communists in Greece, the dim-witted "Red Brigades" in Germany and Italy; the insurgent movements in Latin America (so thoroughly squashed in Brazil, Chile and Argentina).  Cuba, an island without contiguous access to other geographies, and thus no real effect, may be an exception.
 
The best way to avoid insurgent wars is to not get into them.
 
     
Thats what I have always believed. War is a political action at its core, and in an interventionist insurgency, the political fall out will be greater. In a domestic insurgency usually, esp if the insurgency is secessionist in nature, people will support it more and allow "what has to be done". In Nigeria, the Bafira rebellion, the Nigerians showed the insurhents and the locals that come hell or high water they would not let their country get broken up, which destroyed the civilian support.
 
But interventionist insurgencies HAVE been defeated. The Soviets defeated every guerrilla movement after taking over their countries. The Americans defeated the Filipinos. The British effective policed the Middle East after World War I. Interventionist insurgencies are definitely harder to defeat but to say they're invincible is ridiculous.
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  Quote Al Jassas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 12-Mar-2008 at 22:10
Hello Jonathan
 
You seem to forget that those victories came at a price, The US defeated the Filipinos but gave them political and economic rights and later full independence. Britain gave Iraq full inependence after the 1920 rebellion and despite having bases and huge political control, the Assyrians were massacred in the 30s without any intervention from the Brits. They might have been fully defeated but they at least did make important gains other kinds of insurgncies woul ahve never made.
 
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  Quote Batu Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Mar-2008 at 19:17
i think the best way of coping with the insurgency is to train the people of the enemy insurgents as your allies and they shall kill each other.while two brothers are butchering each other,make yourself a cup of tea and enjoy the moment.
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Mar-2008 at 19:26
Originally posted by Jonathan4290

Originally posted by Sparten

Originally posted by pikeshot1600

I have made this point in other threads before:  Interventionist insurgent wars are unwinnable....Algeria, Viet Nam, Afghanistan (USSR version), and perhaps Iraq which is as yet undecided.
 
Domestic insurgencies are a different matter:  The IRA in Ireland; the communists in Greece, the dim-witted "Red Brigades" in Germany and Italy; the insurgent movements in Latin America (so thoroughly squashed in Brazil, Chile and Argentina).  Cuba, an island without contiguous access to other geographies, and thus no real effect, may be an exception.
 
The best way to avoid insurgent wars is to not get into them.
 
     
Thats what I have always believed. War is a political action at its core, and in an interventionist insurgency, the political fall out will be greater. In a domestic insurgency usually, esp if the insurgency is secessionist in nature, people will support it more and allow "what has to be done". In Nigeria, the Bafira rebellion, the Nigerians showed the insurhents and the locals that come hell or high water they would not let their country get broken up, which destroyed the civilian support.
 
But interventionist insurgencies HAVE been defeated. The Soviets defeated every guerrilla movement after taking over their countries. The Americans defeated the Filipinos. The British effective policed the Middle East after World War I. Interventionist insurgencies are definitely harder to defeat but to say they're invincible is ridiculous.
I never said that they were invincible, rather that they were more difficult.
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  Quote Jonathan4290 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14-Mar-2008 at 03:33

I agree Sparten, interventionist insurgencies are much more difficult to defeat, I was referring to pikeshot1600's comment that they are unwinnable.

Originally posted by Al Jassas

You seem to forget that those victories came at a price, The US defeated the Filipinos but gave them political and economic rights and later full independence. Britain gave Iraq full inependence after the 1920 rebellion and despite having bases and huge political control, the Assyrians were massacred in the 30s without any intervention from the Brits. They might have been fully defeated but they at least did make important gains other kinds of insurgncies woul ahve never made.
 
Of course those victories came at a price, all victories do no matter what kind of war it is.
 
This discussion brings about problems of determining the success of an insurgency because insurgent wars are measured in decades, not years. For example, one could argue that the uprisings in Eastern Europe were effective in that eventually they were free from Soviet control but I would judge them to be very ineffective because the uprising was not sustained as the Soviets crushed their will to resist.
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  Quote Sun Tzu Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14-Mar-2008 at 17:07
What I do know is that overt control is impossible it has failed so many times in history.
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  Quote Guests Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29-May-2008 at 20:34
I think neither slaughtering nor giving full support to the local population would solve the problem. As with all extremities these options are useless.
 
Realistically in modern warfare, or in any warfare, when you plan to control an area long term you must use the combination of both sword and pen. The Romans were adept at this, and the examples of Cisalpine Gaul and Caesar's conquest of Gaul prove this. The Romans basically followed a routine: Help, Slaughter(if rebellion occurs), Help, Slaughter, Help, Slaughter.
 
Slaughter would eliminate hostile elements within the populace. Help would gain the support of the wavering populace and those supporting your invasion.
 
However cruel this routine sounds, it mostly proves effective.
 
Btw, I think there is a general misunderstanding of the concept of special forces. Special Forces in modern terms(ever since the creation of German WWI Stormtroopers), were suppose to be offensive units, acting in frontline(WWI) and later behind enemy lines.
 
Such units would be useless against guerilla forces, who like them, fight in a scattered and offensive manner.
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  Quote Jonathan4290 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29-May-2008 at 22:46

Some papers on the topic of counter-insurgency imply the use of special forces but by this they actually mean units acting as guerrillas that don't resemble normal special forces at all. They were used with some minor success in Vietnam but more so in Malaya where they'd hide and ambush guerrillas rather ironically.

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  Quote Vorian Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29-May-2008 at 23:20
In my opinion there are two ways

The first one can't be applied nowadays due to international pressure and human rights.
It's simply a brutal way to punish the populace that helps the insurgency while continuously hunting down the guerrillas. You suspect a village helps the resistance? Kill them all. No proof needed. Savagely subdue the population until their spirit is crushed.
It has many drawbacks. First of all you have to be a brutal dictator to find the stomach to do it. Second, it will at first create many problems and actually increase the resistance before it decreases. Third, you will never ever gain support so you must regard the country as a source of valuables to be discarded when the resources end.

The second is more complex. Raise the quality of life. Educate. Don't use violence against civilians. Etc, etc. What Americans are unsuccessfully trying to do in Iraq.
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  Quote deadkenny Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31-May-2008 at 15:51
Ultimately what it comes down to is restricting the access to resources (material as well as recruits) of the insurgents while being willing to fight for an extended period and suffer losses as the 'occupying' force.  The 'brutality' approach can be counterproductive in that regard, as it can produce more recruits for the insurgency.  While only a small percentage of the local population may be willing to fight for a 'cause', once they are faced with 'no choice' - i.e. will be killed by the occupying forces whether or not they fight - then a much larger percentage will fight.  The ultimate extreme of that philosophy ends up being 'removal' or 'extermination' of the local population.  That then cycles around to the reason for the occupying forces to be there in the first place.  If the issue is control or ownship of the territory itself, and if they are willing / able to entirely dispense with 'conventional' morality, then it can work.  Otherwise, it is ultimately a self-defeating strategy.
 
The second approach is difficult.  However, it can be made to work if the 'occupying' forces are willing to stick it out for the long run and are willing to accept losses and are able to refrain from 'indiscriminate' retaliation. 
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