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Hezbollah's defeat of Israel uncovered

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  Quote Leonidas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Hezbollah's defeat of Israel uncovered
    Posted: 11-Dec-2006 at 02:24
Originally posted by King John

In terms of understanding Israel's context for their actions. Why don't we look at the numerous invasions of Israel by their neighbors in 1948, 1967, and the 1970's. So all of a sudden Israel's context becomes more apparent.
I understand their history makes them think fighting (since they have won up until this year) is the best way to solve disputes.

 Hezbollah cant be accused of agression anymore than isreal can, if we look at it within the context of Isreal and/in lebanon

This whole 'arabs have always attacked them' victim line doesnt hold in this particular relationship, especially since hezbollah began because of isreal occupation and had nothing to do with the prevoius hostility. If i understand it right, the palistinians (esp the PLO) were no freinds to the locals, well before isreal came in and p*ssed everone else of.



Edited by Leonidas - 11-Dec-2006 at 02:25
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  Quote Leonidas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 11-Dec-2006 at 01:46
in 1985? things have changed. There are statements i can find in those wiki sources that contradict that hard line. Different audiances require different language, our politicians do it also, as far as i can see they wont accept isreal taking over all of jerusalem which is not acceptable to most arabs anyway.

Nasrallah, Q and A and his ideas for peace (washington post in 2000)

"If Israel pulls out, he promises that Hezbollah will end its "security" activities there. But he refuses to say whether Hezbollah, whose history includes bombings and the taking of hostages, will halt all activities against Israel, its archenemy.......

From the perspective of Hezbollah, what are the major issues to be addressed during any future Lebanon-Israel peace negotiations?

Lebanon should first recover sovereignty over all its territories, without neglecting any. Second, all Lebanese prisoners in Israeli jails should be released. . . . Third, Lebanon has the right to ask for compensation for all the damages and harm which have resulted from Israeli aggressions against Lebanon during the past decades. Furthermore, Lebanon has the right to ask for punishment of those Israeli officials who should be considered war criminals. . . .

The next issue, which is no less important than the previous ones . . . is the issue of the Palestinian refugees. Lebanon cannot enter into any settlement with anybody based on the granting of Lebanese nationality to the 300,000 or 400,000 Palestinians who live on Lebanese territory. There is no way that such a thing can happen. . . . Any settlement that does not take into consideration the issue of the Palestinian refugees endangers the process and will prove to be a time bomb which can explode at any time."

link

sounds unreasonable?

Hersch's converstion with Nasrallah in 2003

"Nasrallah emphasized that he was not seeking a confrontation with the United States. Because of Hezbollahs ability to disrupt a deal between the Israelis and Palestinians, I asked Nasrallah about his view of the renewed talks. He hesitated a moment and declared, At the end, this is primarily a Palestinian matter. I, like any other person, may consider what is happening to be right or wrong. . . . I may have a different assessment, but at the end of the road no one can go to war on behalf of the Palestinians, even if that one is not in agreement with what the Palestinians agreed on. Of course, it would bother us that Jerusalem goes to Israel.

I asked, But if there was a deal?

Let it happen, he answered. I would not say O.K. I would say nothing. "

Link

CNN transcripts (2003)

"MACVICAR: You know that one of the key questions here in the region that many want to know the answer to is how will Hezbollah act if there is a war? Would Hezbollah, for example, attack Israel if there is a war?

NASRALLAH: Our policy is clear, we are fighting in an area that is still under occupation in Lebanon. And beyond that area, we are on the defensive. What is being talked about now is the probability of the Sharon government launching an attack against Lebanon to eliminate the resistance of Hezbollah by using the American war against Iraq. But, of course, in this case, we will certainly fight with all our strength.....

MACVICAR: Anderson, that was the key message of Sheikh Nasrallah -- that Hezbollah is now not looking for a fight. He came as close as he possibly could of saying that they were not interested now in attacking Israel. Of course, saying that if, in fact, Lebanon was attacked they would reserve the right to respond. A very different tone, as I said before, in this interview than in some of the other public statements that we've heard from Sheikh Nasrallah, which in many ways may have been meant for domestic consumption in Lebanon -- Anderson."
link

this is from the leader himself, not a foot soldier or an isreali adaption.




Edited by Leonidas - 11-Dec-2006 at 02:00
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  Quote King John Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10-Dec-2006 at 10:40
After some searching I have found one instance of Hezbollah's statement of it's aim I will provide the link for you.

http://www.zionism-israel.com/hdoc/Hezbollah_Charter.htm

this is not an unbiased site so I will provide at least one more link for you.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hizbullah#Position_on_Israel


    I could not find a translation of the Open Letter published in Bierut 1985 that actually stated Hezbollah's goals. So I just provided the two above links

Edited by King John - 10-Dec-2006 at 10:55
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  Quote King John Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 10-Dec-2006 at 09:33
Now, now I never said they wanted to destroy the west. What I said was they wanted to "destroy westernly aligned governments." However, I probably should have included a qualifying statement with a statement that said something to the effect of: "in surrounding nations and their own, hoping to establish an Islamic regime in its place." Unfortunately I can not off the top of my head come up with an instance where Hezbollah has stated its aim as being to destroy Israel. However, this does not mean that it is not a true statement. Show me where they expressly state that it's not their aim.

In terms of understanding Israel's context for their actions. Why don't we look at the numerous invasions of Israel by their neighbors in 1948, 1967, and the 1970's. So all of a sudden Israel's context becomes more apparent.
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  Quote Leonidas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09-Dec-2006 at 18:28
isreal holds over 2000 lebanese without charge since their occupation. It has mined southern lebanon and refuses to hand over the maps so they can destroy these mines even though they have no military use. Start there King John and all of a sudden the context of Hezbollah actions make more sense. Please show me where hezbollah have actaully made it their aim to destroy Isreal or the west?

 I agree somewhat that they are puppets to foriegners but everyone is a puppet in lebanon to one side or the other, yet they are all lebanese. I want both syria and isreal out of that country and taking sh*t from either is bad for lebanon, while i hope the anti-syrians stay in power i would also want the hezbi soldiers to keep isreal in check.

Edited by Leonidas - 09-Dec-2006 at 18:31
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  Quote King John Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 09-Dec-2006 at 16:44
I'm no expert on Middle Eatern Politics nor am I an expert in Israeli-Lebanese relationships nor on military actions. However, there seems to be an overglossing of certain issues running through this thread.

First pertaining to the referal of the term "Arab" as denoting both Jews and other middle eastern populations. This term is completely wrong! Jews although a semetic people are not "Arab," this does not mean that there are no Arab Jews just that they are few in number. If we want to be truely correct we should refer to the parties involved by there nation of origin ie: Israeli, Lebanese, Palestinian, Jordanian etc. I have no problems with a person being a bigot but if we are going to be bigoted we should know the difference between the focuses of our bigotry (although this is contrary to the idea of bigotry).

The second issue that seems to be running through some of the posts here is that people on both sides like to focus only on "chest thumping" that is my side is right your side is wrong. Although this is the nature of debate this is counter productive. However, some people seem to be missing basic history of this region. For this I suggest reading a wonderfully well written book From Beirut to Jerusalem. Some also seem to miss the point that while the actions of Israel might not have been a proper "proportional response" they were none the less provoked not just by the kidnapping of two IDF soldiers but the murder of at least two more during that same raid. Some people would go so far as to call this an act of war. This was just the culmination of years of animosity between Hezbollah and Israel. This brings me to my final point.

Hezbollah through out the running thread is commonly referred to in terms of endearment. This should not be the case any organization that rejoices at the death of an outsider should not be referred to in such terms. The fact remains that Hezbollah is an organization founded on the destruction of Israel and other westernly alighned governments. I read in one of the posts that they (Hezbollah) were defenders (or something to that nature the exact phrase escapes my mind for which I appologize) of Lebanese soil against foreign occupation. This is simply a less than true statement what was Hezbollah's stance on the recently ended Syrian occupation of Lebanon? They embraced it as a matter of fact they are still part of the pro-Syrian faction of Lebanese politics.

I would like to point out that the verdict is still out on this conflict. Neither side was able to claim an immidiate victory, but the long term effects have yet to be seen, and it is there that the winner will be made apparent.

I would like to appologize for any misspelled words or poorly chosen phrases. If some people feel that I have attacked them that was not my intent and I would like to appologize, I simply wanted to address issues that I encountered. Again I would like to appologize for misspelled words, poorly chosen phrases, and bad grammar.
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  Quote Zagros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 18:02
That's your opinion and you're as well entitled to yours as I am to mine. Here are the facts and figures:

Tactics were the same. Inflict pain on the civilians to get at their polical leaders. And Saddam's campign of attrition stretched for 6 years, Israel's, 35 days.

Here's the math.

365 x 6 / 35 = 62.5 x 1200 (civilians killed by Israel, who knows how many maimed) = 75,000 civilian deaths had the campaign lasted for 6 years.

Take into account Iran's population then was 40m, Lebanon's now, is 4m. Multiply that 75k by 10 to take the population disaprity into account and put things into proportion: 10 x 75k = 750,000 civilians.

So you see Israel's aggression was on a much much higher scale, especially when you consider that Iran's civilian casualties were far less in proportion to military.

So to say that Israel showed restraint is a complete myth and a smokescreen for the IDF's incapacity.


    
    
    

Edited by Zagros - 05-Dec-2006 at 18:08
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  Quote mamikon Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 17:50
Werent the Iranian civilian casualties in hundreds of thousands? in the Israel-Lebanon conflict a little more than 1000 Lebanese died. Didnt Saddam willingly target civilian objects?

Israel, with much more equipment could have inflicted far more civlian casualties if intended.

I do not believe Israelis targeted civilians with full knowledge that those targets lack Hezbollah fighters...
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  Quote Zagros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 16:57
Hezbollah's actions were stupid, they took the bait - their only saving grace was their military prowess.

I think any external forces, when they deliberately target the infrastructure of a nation and kill innocent civilians will result in the rallying of the populace behind their only hope of defense; so if Israel retaliated in the same way as it did this time around then... Yes, I think the people would rally again behind the only perceived source of defense their country has.

This was also a tried and failed tactic by Saddam against Iran - his wanten destruction and targetting of civilians only strengthened their resolve rather than turn on their government.
    

Edited by Zagros - 05-Dec-2006 at 17:01
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  Quote mamikon Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 16:36
Originally posted by Zagros

Hezbollah have stated their objective of kidnapping IDf men to use as bargaining chips to secure release of Lebanese prisoners since 2003 when sharon pulled out of a planned prisoner exchange.

If you have a look at the article it will state that despite IDF protocol these particular soldiers were placed in an effective blind spot, hence the ease of their capture... Israeli casualties (8) were not incurred until the commander in the area sent troops in blind pursuit.


Thats what I said in the beginning...There were kidnappings before, and the main purpose of Israel was not to get them back...at least thats what it seems.

Originally posted by Zagros


Well, the bombing had the opposite effect, even christian protesters were holding up placards with Nassrallah on them and in Cairo a recent opinion poll came out with Nasrallah as the most popular leader in the Islamic sphere.. Bombing civilians is contrary tot he Geneva Convention to which Israel is a party and in itself is a terror tactic.

Also, Israel did not just bomb Shiite suburbs, they also hit Christian suburbs, they bombed infrastructure like bridges and airports etc and completely blocked off the country.


It did have opposite effect; do you think it will have the same opposite effect say in 5 years, if this scenario repeats? Or would you see Christian/Sunni protests against Hezbollah's independent actions?

When Hezbollah commits such actions it puts the whole nation in danger. It should not be "above" everybody else in Lebanon, especially when it represents lower than 30% of the Lebanese.


Edited by mamikon - 05-Dec-2006 at 16:40
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  Quote Zagros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 16:08
From a tactical perspective as in "mission accomplished", Hezbollah was successful and Israel was unsuccessful, hence the use of the term "defeated".

Hezbollah's kidnap of the soldiers was not unexpected:

Hezbollah have stated their objective of kidnapping IDf men to use as bargaining chips to secure release of Lebanese prisoners since 2003 when sharon pulled out of a planned prisoner exchange.

If you have a look at the article it will state that despite IDF protocol these particular soldiers were placed in an effective blind spot, hence the ease of their capture... Israeli casualties (8) were not incurred until the commander in the area sent troops in blind pursuit.

---

Well, the bombing had the opposite effect, even christian protesters were holding up placards with Nassrallah on them and in Cairo a recent opinion poll came out with Nasrallah as the most popular leader in the Islamic sphere.. Bombing civilians is contrary tot he Geneva Convention to which Israel is a party and in itself is a terror tactic.

Also, Israel did not just bomb Shiite suburbs, they also hit Christian suburbs, they bombed infrastructure like bridges and airports etc and completely blocked off the country.

    

Edited by Zagros - 05-Dec-2006 at 16:11
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  Quote mamikon Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 15:53
Originally posted by Zagros

This is purely froma military perspective, that some people have viewed it as otherwise is unfortunate.


I didnt realize it is from a purely military perspective, sry about that. Still, you cant say Hezbollah won...it just didn't lose. In conjunction you cant say that Israel actually lost to Hezbollah...unless you are holding them to different standards.

Originally posted by Zagros

The war was not between Lebanon and Israel it was between Israel and Hezbollah - Hezbollah is not weakeend in anyway as far as serious analysts are concerned, in fact it has grown much stronger and gained Christian support and support throughout the Arab street, shi'ite and Sunni.

ISrael punished the people of Lebanon because it could not touch Hezbollah in any effective way.


Forces of Lebanon might not have been involved...but look who received the most damage. In any case,  say next year Lebanon gets back to its feet (as before the war) , Hezbollah pulls off another kidnapping stunt and Israel once more attcks, causing humand deaths (in both countries) and damage in billions....those Chrsitians and Sunnis would again stant next to Hezhollah?

I really dont think they will...

Originally posted by Zagros

ISrael punished the people of Lebanon because it could not touch Hezbollah in any effective way.


Israel punished the people (damaging mostly sh*te neighborhoods) who are voting for Hezbollah in Lebanese politics...dont you think this is effective? (and abhorrent)
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  Quote Zagros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05-Dec-2006 at 14:59
Originally posted by mamikon

Compare Israel and lebanon now...and compare Israel and Lebanon before the war.

Virtually nothing has changed for Israel, maybe its reputation became a little worse but its reputation was not that good among it neighbors in the first place. Lebanon meanwhile had its "Paris of the Middle East" bombed, economy destroyed, with thousands of internally displaced people and refugees abroad, as of last week almost on the verge civil war.

Seeing how hezbollah is part of Lebanon...can you truly say they have won and Israel has lost?

And about those "goals". Does anyone truly beleve the goal of Israel was to get those 2 soldiers back?

There have dozen such kidnappings every year for the past 10 years or so...


This is purely froma military perspective, that some people have viewed it as otherwise is unfortunate. The war was not between Lebanon and Israel it was between Israel and Hezbollah - Hezbollah is not weakeend in anyway as far as serious analysts are concerned, in fact it has grown much stronger and gained Christian support and support throughout the Arab street, shi'ite and Sunni.

ISrael punished the people of Lebanon because it could not touch Hezbollah in any effective way.
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  Quote mamikon Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04-Dec-2006 at 16:33
Compare Israel and lebanon now...and compare Israel and Lebanon before the war.

Virtually nothing has changed for Israel, maybe its reputation became a little worse but its reputation was not that good among it neighbors in the first place. Lebanon meanwhile had its "Paris of the Middle East" bombed, economy destroyed, with thousands of internally displaced people and refugees abroad, as of last week almost on the verge civil war.

Seeing how hezbollah is part of Lebanon...can you truly say they have won and Israel has lost?

And about those "goals". Does anyone truly beleve the goal of Israel was to get those 2 soldiers back?

There have dozen such kidnappings every year for the past 10 years or so...
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  Quote konstantinius Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04-Dec-2006 at 14:29
Originally posted by Worldhistory

Originally posted by Hellios

 
The conflict is real.
 
 
Only to the extent needed to be shown on a daily basis on the TV screen for the gullible minded.
 
It's called polarisation - whereby unsuspecting people are influenced (some say brain washed)  to take one side or the other in an otherwise (nothing to do with them) conflict.
 
Either way, it helps the relevance of both branches (Muslims and Jews) of the Arabs to increase at the cost of other people neglecting to solve their more important and own ongoing historical issues and problems.
 
Arabs, let them be Jews or Muslim want the centre stage because they can't, and never could, accept they're not really all that important in the world.
 
They've never been important and this is why they lie, invent false stories and rebadge the history of others and the world.
 
 
 
 
"world history" are you claiming that the conflict in the M East is caused by two ARABIC factions ("Arabs, let them be Jews or Muslim[...] world".)? So you consider Israel to be an Arabic state? Jews are not Arabic (OK, there's a lot of discussion that could go on this, both Semitic, in close proximity for hundreds of years etc etc) . There is an arab-Jewish minority in Israel with the arab jews serving in the Israeli army just like anyone else but there is definetely NOT an Arabic majority in Israel.
Anti-Arab propaganda can be waged in much smarter ways than this. Smarten up or shut up.
" I do disagree with what you say but I'll defend to my death your right to do so."
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  Quote Zagros Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04-Dec-2006 at 08:30
Worldhistory, if you have ever bothered to read our code of conduct, you will notice that in almost every post you violate them.

Your comments are racist and are not suited to this forum and corrective action will shortly be taken.
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  Quote Seko Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04-Dec-2006 at 06:16
Worldhistory seems to have taken liberties with his ethnic generalizations. His posts will be reviewed by the Mod Staff.
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  Quote Worldhistory Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03-Dec-2006 at 20:20
Originally posted by Hellios

 
The conflict is real.
 
 
Only to the extent needed to be shown on a daily basis on the TV screen for the gullible minded.
 
It's called polarisation - whereby unsuspecting people are influenced (some say brain washed)  to take one side or the other in an otherwise (nothing to do with them) conflict.
 
Either way, it helps the relevance of both branches (Muslims and Jews) of the Arabs to increase at the cost of other people neglecting to solve their more important and own ongoing historical issues and problems.
 
Arabs, let them be Jews or Muslim want the centre stage because they can't, and never could, accept they're not really all that important in the world.
 
They've never been important and this is why they lie, invent false stories and rebadge the history of others and the world.
 
 


Edited by Worldhistory - 03-Dec-2006 at 20:21
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  Quote Hellios Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01-Dec-2006 at 20:07
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

Actually I didn't say anything about the Constitution.  My point was that it would take another terrorist act to push the US into full-scale war and not the police action going on in Iraq right now.  The sort of act of war that the President and Congress reinstate the draft over.
 
Ok, your point of view clearer now. Smile
 
I simply don't want such a thing (another major terrorist act like 9/11) to happen just for the sake of pushing the US into full scale war against an enemy that can almost instantly blend in with the rest of his locals; this enemy can't be defeated through "full scale war" as you say; this kind of enemy has to be dealt with in other ways; which is why Washington is rethinking their strategies in Iraq, etc, because fighting "terrorists" with "full scale war" is becoming increasingly ineffective. Smile
 
Effectively & successfully fighting "terrorists" probably requires for you to hold the high ground on the moral, political, and legal fronts.  It's hard (almost impossible) to do that when you engage them in wars/invasions/occupations that are ruled illegal by the international community.
 
A most effective anti-terrorist weapon for Israel would be to give back all Lebanese occupied land, and perhaps parts of some other occupied lands to other neighbors from recent wars.  One by one, they should cut down the "terrorist's" excuses, and this will lead to a major shift in international support towards the Israeli side.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

I'm talking about every man between the ages of 18 and 35 being called up for one purpose or another such as in WW2.
 
I think most Americans are proud of their civil right to not become soldiers, and hear the majority of them want to keep that civil right.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

This isn't my theory on how to solve America's problems but rather to say that the US using very little of its potential might so far and in a radicalized future could bring immense and irresistable force to bear.
 
I don't think "immense and irresistible force" is the solution, but I agree that America is under/improperly using its potential.  So is my country. Smile
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

You're obviously upset about the US involvement in other countries but I can assure you I have no feeling about it either way.  I didn't vote for Bush, I don't approve of his decisions and feel no responsiblity for the trouble he causes.
 
Not upset. Wink  Just discussing.  You're right; Americans are not responsible for the actions of some of their elites.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

The Taliban clearly supported 911 so Afghanistan was invaded.  I don't think the US military really wants to be there but they keep finding terrorists, many foreigners from the middle east, so they stay because they can't allow another cuckoo gov in there. 
 
That invasion of Afghanistan was a failure because it didn't achieve it's objective of getting rid of the Taliban and the number of Afghan civilian casualties many times higher than 9/11.
 
The international community is not stupid and knew this would happen, which is why that particular invasion was ruled illegal by the UN to begin with, but the story now is different, because we're trying to clean up the mess.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

Iraq is Bush's thing.  Sadam tried to assassinate his dad so he went there for a family grudge or some other purpose.  At any rate the US is leaving and that's what the majority of Americans want. 
 
Agreed.
 
You can't blame the international community for the way it feels about Iraq.  We were lied to about a few things like the weapons of mass destruction, biological/chemical weapons, involvement in 9/11, the true civilian death count, etc.  When you combine these things with the direct consequences/results/civilian deaths in Iraq, it can only result in negativity. LOL
 
 
Cheers. 


Edited by Hellios - 01-Dec-2006 at 20:14
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  Quote Hellios Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01-Dec-2006 at 18:31
Hi Lance.
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

In order to defeat your enemy you must accomplish something right?  Otherwise it really isn't a victory.  In summnation, you're post is incorrect since Israel was not defeated, the facts just don't support your conclusion.
 
Didn't say IDF was defeated/destroyed.  I said they didn't win.  There's a difference; here, my words again:
 
"Hezbollah didn't "win" like the author says - what they did is prevent Israel from winning."
 
and form my post before that:
 
"I believe Hezbollah understand that they cannot destroy Israel, instead, they can only fight them in a defensive/guerilla style setting on their own land."
 
Lance, in some battles/wars there isn't always a decisive "winner".  Some end in a draw, or with both sides only losing, etc.  You're wrong about my perception of the outcome.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

The following link, http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0817/p09s02-coop.html, is from the Christian Science Monitor. Excerpts below.
 
Since you're wrong about my perception of the outcome, these excerpts (about the interpretations of "success" and what defines it) are useless now, but I'll have a look for fun...
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"The most useful way to gauge success in today's complex battlefield is probably to look at the initial interests that each party to the conflict had at the outset, and then look at the outcome to see what each party was able to achieve."
 
Makes sense.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"Their probable goal in kidnapping two Israeli soldiers in July was to cause Israel to release Lebanese and Palestinian terrorists being held in its prisons, thereby boosting Hizbullah leader Hassan Nasrallah's significance in the region. But because of the subsequent Israeli response, Hizbullah wasn't able to achieve its aim."
 
A less bias and more accurate statement for the reader would be this:
 
They captured 2 Israeli soldiers to exchange them for Lebanese political prisoners detained during a few decades of occupation (an occupation ruled illegal by the UN), but this aim still hasn't been achieved.  Israel invaded Lebanon with 2 aims; get back the captured IDF soldiers, and disarm Hezbollah, but neither of those 2 aims were achieved.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"Israel has severely battered Hizbullah's military infrastructure, though certainly not put it out of commission."
 
It's funny how the author believes that Hezbollah has a military "infrastructure".  They're not set up that way.  They know IDF can destroy any "infrastructure" they try to build, so they're organized as a mobile, concealed, guerilla-style resistance force.  The only "infrastructure" that was "severely battered" was Lebanese civil infrastructure.
 
Anyhow, what the author, IDF, and you fail to understand is that even if Hezbollah was successfully disarmed by force, it would be a very temporary "solution", because as long as a foreign military occupies a sovereign country, there will be an armed resistance, especially if the occupation is ruled illegal by the UN.  It would only take the next resistance movement (or Hezbollah itself) a few months to re-arm, because their weapons are small enough to enter the country through friendly borders.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"Nevertheless, the organization has lost a significant number of personnel and medium-range rockets."
 
True.
 
It's good that Hezbollah lost some medium & long range rockets, because (in my opinion) those are more "offensive" weapons they fire into northern Israel in retaliation for Lebanese civilian casualties, and I believe that's wrong.
 
Their more defensive weapons (like shoulder mounted anti-tank, etc.) are a different story.   These are the weapons that truly enable them to resist IDF up close on Lebanese land.
 
Their human losses were significant because every life is significant, but strategically speaking, Hezbollah's human losses were not very significant.  Most of the Lebanese casualties were civilians.  The Shiite population of Lebanon is a quickly growing population; mainly due to their above-average birth rate.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"The organization has also lost, assuming that the present UN cease-fire plan is implemented as promised, its forward deployment positions along Israel's border and, indeed, exclusive control over territory south of the Litani River."
 
See this thread:
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"Most important, in the coming months, Hizbullah will discover that it has alienated most of the Lebanese population, including large numbers of Lebanese Shiites, because its aggressive actions produced a harsh Israeli response that has brought the destruction of significant areas and infrastructure in Lebanon, as well as a major loss of life."
 
Notice how the author only acknowledges certain things when it suits him or her; mentioning "harsh Israeli response that has brought the destruction of significant areas and infrastructure in Lebanon, as well as a major loss of life."
 
Anyhow, the last round actually made Hezbollah more popular among Lebanese Muslims, neighboring Muslim countries, Muslim states globally, and even some non-Muslem ones, so the author is wrong about that.
 
The neutral reality is this:
 
Hezbollah can be blamed for capturing the 2 IDF soldiers.  Their motives for this was/is to trade them for political prisoners detained during decades of illegal occupation.
 
Only Israel holds the full blame for her actions; namely what the author said: "harsh Israeli response that has brought the destruction of significant areas and infrastructure in Lebanon, as well as a major loss of life."
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"Ultimately, Hizbullah will come out of this conflict considerably weakened."
 
True.  Most people come out of conflicts weakened.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"On balance, despite its somewhat lackadaisical performance, Israel achieved the bulk of its goals while Hizbullah can point to few accomplishments. The degree to which one side is able to achieve long-standing goals should therefore be the ultimate barometer as to the outcome of the Israeli-Hizbullah war."
 
IDF had 2 objectives:
- get back the 2 captured IDF solders.
- disarm Hezbollah.
 
Hezbollah had 1 objective:
- prevent IDF from achieving their 2 objectives.
 
IDF failed both their objectives and Hezbollah achieved theirs.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"The media may have been seduced by footage of physical destruction, statistics of war dead, declarations of defiance by Nasrallah, as well as spats among the political and military leaders in Israel, but these are not the true measure of victory."
 
The international community's reaction to the footage of physical destruction and statistics of war dead was in compliance with common sense.
 
Nasrallah's declarations of defiance are just funny, and have no impact whatsoever on my opinion.
 
The spats among Israeli political & military leaders are things that uphold my belief in Israel as a democratic society.
 
 
Originally posted by Lance Uppercut

"Well Zagross, as you can see Hezbollah was clearly defeated since it did not accomplish its goals, while Israel on the other hand came out pretty well."
 
LOL
 


Edited by Hellios - 01-Dec-2006 at 18:50
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