Forecasts and results of the Communist experiment.

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   Utopia is at power. Forecasts and results of the
Communist experiment.

I rely 
on Raymon Aron"s and Carl Popper's ideas in this article. My
advantage  consists in comparison with
these authors that I have own theory of interrelation between the social
conflict and social control. Popper had given criticism of prophecies of Marx
in the book «Open society and his enemies». I had developed Popper's this plan
in this article.

   This experiment was finished in Russia in
1991, It is time to do conclusions from this
experiment:

•The first
forecast Marx: the prohibition of
wars, establishing democratic peace among peoples.

Result: the Soviet Union has committed aggression against Finland in 1939,
against

Afghanistan in 1979; the USSR came to economic
collapse as a result of military

competition with USA during the “cold” war. Responsibility for disorder of Russian army lies just on Bolsheviks in
1917.  When Bolsheviks had seized power
and had taken on itself the responsibility for managing of the country, they
have showed own total incompetence under signing  of the  shameful Brest’s peace with Germany or,
perhaps, have begun to betray the national interests of Russia in exchange for
money German intelligence. Just responsibility lies on Bolsheviks of the
collapse of the Russian army in 1917. This defeat in war with Germany had
become the lesson for the Bolsheviks, and they later became to spend all forces
of the country for preparation to war. Stalin did not feel embarrassed to enter
to collusion even with Hitler. Bolsheviks conducted the secret terrorist
operations in worldwide. Thus, the Bolshevik’s Russia became the aggressor and
the source of the terrorist threat often.  But communism crash in Russia hasn't stopped
military rivalry of Russia against the USA and the NATO. Conclusion:
the complete ban of wars is a utopia.

•Second
forecast Marx: socialism should win in worldwide.

Result: The affair of socialism is lost nearly everywhere today. Socialist
regimes have preserved only in North Korea, China and Cuba today. Only  one‐party communist system has remained  from a totalitarian regime in China today. Market
and private property

had restored in the economy of China today. A demonstration
student at Tiananmen Square, demanding the

restoration of democracy, was crushed by tanks
on 3 June 1989. But in economic

development of China has achieved huge success
thanks to very low cost of wage labor  and
huge zeal of Chinese workers, low taxes, absence of old-age pensions for
workers. As a result of the cost of Chinese goods is very low, although their
quality is a very low also. Hunger has 
started in Cuba without Soviet help, condition of health of old dictator
Fidel Castro deteriorated badly, he has carried heavy operation, so the
democratic opposition waits of his death with impatience so as to restore
democracy, market and private property, to develop tourism. If the Soviet State
enterprises lost continuously to foreign private enterprises in a foreign market, if the Communists lost on elections in developed
Western countries constantly, that the Soviet communists tried to win these
countries with help armed forces, to established the communist tyranny and to
take away these effective enterprise at private owners in favor

of the State and to make them ineffective. Russians
Bolsheviks wont to organize the export of revolution, exports of Utopia, which
means exporting of Asian formation in other countries on bayonets of Soviet soldiers
or with help of the organization to seize

power in other country 
by the Communists from this countries on Soviet money. USSR sent large sums of money on the support of the Communist parties
and regimes with the Socialist orientation worldwide. This had led to the
emergence of political groups in other countries, which built the visibility of
the Communist work, this had led to senseless waste of State’s funds in the
USSR, that was one of causes of economic collapse of communist regime in the
USSR eventually.

• Third forecast
Marx: The market, the exploitation of man to man,
private

ownership of the means of production should to
die.

Result: It is economic collapse of socialism, which had the following
manifestations::

A. The
emergence of deficit for some kinds of goods. Terrible hunger arisen repeatedly at time of government of Stalin and
Lenin, for example hunger in the cities during the

civil war, hunger in the Volga region, hunger
after the beginning of collectivization, hunger after the end of the Second
World war. These periodic cases of hunger had led to huge human victims. To
cope with hunger Soviet regime has entered repeatedly the

distribution of products on cards and voting,
in fact, this regime is supported population of Russia in condition
of balancing on the verge of hunger permanently in all its history.  Last period of deterioration for economic position of the population had
become during the government of
Gorbachev when only bread and birch’s juice had remained on the shelves of supermarkets in free sale. Soviet people were able to survive
only with help their

own kitchen-gardens, breeding of cattle in
personal house‐keeping, through the sale of products on the “colhos’s” market
and illegal purchase with surcharge of deficit goods from familiar sellers.

B. Domestic
industrial products are unable to compete on the world market. The Soviet Union became raw material's appendage of Western economies.
USSR began to export grain in large scale abroad in exchange for industrial equipment
with 1920s;  incidentally, this was one
of the main causes of hunger after the beginning of collectivization. Thus,

the hunger was artificial, resulting in
incorrect economic policies of the Communist regime. As a result of
collectivization agriculture of Russia was disorganized definitively. Agriculture
of Russia could not ensure the needs of population of even their own country;

therefore, the Communist regime was forced to
import the grain from abroad in 1960s. This regime had  founded a new export goods – oil and gas. Geologists
had discovered a new

field of 
these energy carriers in Western Siberia. Prices of energy carriers had
fallen in the 1990s, this had

become to cause of deficit of many goods in
USSR and cause of collapse for

communist regime. Prices of energy carriers
had risen again in recent 10 years that is one of the main

causes of relative economic well‐being of the
modern Russia today. If country has made a stake on the
export of raw materials that this country has the vulnerable economic position,
cause of this is that its economic successes could finish to economic collapse suddenly
 for many reasons, for example, because the depletion of fields this raw material, because sharp fall of prices for this kind of raw materials,
because the invention

of substitute for this kind of raw materials.
For example, thermonuclear stations will can become an inexhaustible source of
energy in future instead of oil and gas.

C. It turned
out that state enterprises  work less
efficiently than private enterprises.

   Not
only experience of socialism in Russia indicates to this fact, but the
experience of the government of Social‐Democrats in Sweden indicates to this
fact too. Private firms give more profit under production of goods, quality of
this goods is better. This fact is recognized around the all world, so
governments tries to privatize State enterprises everywhere as far as possible.
This fact was explained that the leadership of the State enterprise is not
afraid of the devastation of its business

and it is able to pay their debts from the
State budget, all State enterprises are losing money. Economic stimulus in
private enterprise make the control in this enterprise more effective compared
with the administrative control in State enterprises.

D. Exploitation
of man to men has not disappeared under socialism. The notion “exploitation” is essentially a synonym of notion  “social control”, and social control cannot be
deleted from the social structure. If worker worked to the entrepreneur under
capitalism that worker worked to the official under socialism. It is almost no
difference for the worker on who to work, but entrepreneur pays more money than
official usually.

E. Remuneration
according to quantity and quality of labour under capitalism had been

changed to remuneration according to level of the
occupied post under socialism. Workers  can work badly under socialism, but it was
important to retain his post, so workers walked to plant without clear
objectives, drank vodka in plant, played cards, went shopping in working time,
but tried don’t to commit the truancies. Thus, labour discipline was very bad
under socialism. Collective farmers worked badly under Stalin because  they  get wages nothing, and collective farmers
worked badly under Khrushchev and Brezhnev because they get wages
something  all equally. Himself Brezhnev
was lazy and sick man, therefore he worked only two hours in  day in  end of his life, he read the books never and
spent rest time to hunting or watching TV. Soviet elite imitated to own ruler
always.

F. Sector of the
slave economy is  the GULAG (State government
of camps), GULAG has arose in USSR under Stalin. GULAG required of the recruitment new and new slaves, because the duration of the life for prisoners was very
low because of the hard conditions of labour. If the prisoner exceeded the day’s norm of
productivity for labour on 50% that he received even one herring in addition to  the own food norm of bread (Stalin’s norm). If
the prisoner didn’t to carry out norm of productivity for labour, that he didn’t
received own food norm of bread in

this day and died from hunger soon. This was a
senseless embezzlement of workforce’s resource. This is contrary to human
rights. GULAG is a sample of barracks socialism.

G. industrialization
was conducted at the expense of robbery of villages, as result the main export’s  sector of economy (agriculture) was devastated.

•Fourth
forecast Marx: The death of religion
must occur, because, according to Marx, religion is
opium for people.

Result: It is the collapse of all attempts to forbid religion and flowering of
everyday immorality. But it was able to put the Church under control of the KGB
(Committee of State Security): all appointments to post of the priest were with
the permission of the Commissioner to affairs of religion, it were a many of
informers among the priests. A large share of priests had been in the GULAG,
where many of them died. Large part of

the Church values was robbed by Soviet power.
Patriarch Tikhon had died in prison. Many churches were dynamited or desecrated
by order of the authorities. Powers could undermine the faith in God among the
large part of population; this has led to increased

the number of suicides, divorces, abortions,
level of crime, flourishing domestic drunkenness.

•Fifth forecast
of Marx: prohibition of the bourgeois culture and
ideology which, as if, justify the exploitation of man to man.

Results: It is the building of an ideological machine by deception for its own
people, it is the establishing of censorship, it is low level and low quality
of domestic culture. Talented artists were forced to emigrate, were expelled
abroad, have been in prison, were brought to suicide, but mediocre artists
edited their works huge circulations, which was difficult to sell. Thus, the
disappearance of competition among Soviet artists had led to total

degradation of quality for their artistic
works.

•Sixth forecast
of Marx: It is dictatorship of the proletariat with
subsequent death of State.

Results: It is the arbitrariness of the authorities and State terror against
its own people. It is deliberate initiating of civil fratricidal war. It is
prohibition of the opposition parties and the capital punishment of their
members. Voting was open from 1918 to 1936. Elections

become a farce gradually. Instead death of
State it became by tyrannical and then

oligarchic. Bodies of State terror have become
State security organs, which change your title periodically ‐ VChK, GPU, MGB,
and then the KGB. They can act contrary to law. Such functions have carried out
“oprichniks” when tsar Ivan Grozny (“terrible”) was. Malyita

Skuratov was personal hangman under Ivan
Grozny. Start Bolshevik’s terror was one from causes of the civil war. Deputies
of Constituent Assembly F. F. Kokoshkin and A. I. Shingarev were killed among
the first, and nothing remembers even about such formality, as deputy immunity.

• Seventh
forecast of Marx: building a classless
society.

Results: Classless society (communism) have left distant utopia, realty results
were the destruction of many representatives of nobility, priests, rich
peasants, Cossacks, the

bourgeoisie and merchants, confiscation of property and State’s robbery under the Lenin’s slogan
“It need to rob property which was robed!”. This robbery was accompanied by
physical

destruction and imprisonment by the
representatives of these estates.  This
policy has resulted to destruction of private entrepreneurship, the
disappearance of economic

stimuluses to labour, to equality in poverty,
economic ruin, because the

organizers of a large production were
destroyed or expelled from the country. The economic policy of military
communism had replaced the market to direct distribution of products and
clothing. But before it can distribute, first it need take away these products

from peasants under threat of execution, but
such an withdrawal has received a just resistance of peasants and it was one
from causes of the civil war. This war continued until such time as Lenin
replaced by food’s confiscation (“Prodrazvyorstka”) to food’s tax.

“Prodrazvyorstka” is state’s robbing of
peasants without any norms and restrictions. Unlike “Prodrazvyorstka” , the
size of the food’s tax was known in advance and was less than the size of “Prodrazvyorstka”.
Lenin replaced the policy of military communism to policy NEP (New Economic
Policy), that is he abolished the prohibition on petty trading, he entered the
convertible currency – the Golden Russian chervonets, Lenin has allowed again
that

enterprising man can become an employer (“nepman”).
Stalin destroy HEP and repressed “nepmans”. As a result of all these cataclysms
a new ruling layer (party “nomenclature”) appears.

Conclusion: As long there will be a division of public
labour, such long society will be built

at the social conflict and social control, until the
classless society will remain a unrealizable utopia.

2.7.4.5. The conclusions from the Communist
experiment:

Simplifying social structure is impossible. Religion,
private property,  market, state, laws,

money, the separation of powers, democracy, a multi‐party system,
the constitution, art competition, scientific discussion, the prison system,
the army, law enforcement

authorities, social control and social conflict  are a great social inventions, which will die

never and cannot be abolished without damage for
society, and without just resistance

of the population to this efforts of utopianists. Self‐ isolation of
utopian State will leads

to economic collapse inevitably.