Excerpts from Carroll Quigley's "Tragedy and Hope", discussing the origins and political background to WWII:
CHAPTER XII: THE POLICY OF APPEASEMENT 1931-1936The
structure of collective security was destroyed completely under the
assaults of Japan, Italy and Germany who were attacking the whole
nineteenth century way of life and some of the most fundamental
attributes of Western Civilization itself. They were in revolt against
democracy, against the parliamentary system, against laissez-faire and
the liberal outlook, against nationalism (although in the name of
nationalism), against humanitarianism, against science and against all
respect for human dignity and human decency. It was recruited from the
dregs of society.
During the nineteenth century, goals were
completely lost or were reduced to the most primitive level of
obtaining more power and more wealth. But the constant acquisition of
power or wealth, like a narcotic for which the need grows as its use
increases without in any way satisfying the user, left man's "higher"
nature unsatisfied.
Germany could have made no aggression
without the acquiescence and even in some cases the actual
encouragement of the "satisfied" Powers, especially Britain.
THE JAPANESE ASSAULT, 1931-1941The
similarity between Germany and Japan was striking: each had a
completely cartelized industry, a militaristic tradition, a
hard-working population which respected authority and loved order, a
facade of parliamentary constitutionalism which barely concealed the
reality of power wielded by an alliance of army, landlords, and
industry.
The steady rise in tariffs against Japanese
manufactured goods after 1897 led by America served to increase the
difficulties of Japan's position. The world depression and the
financial crisis hit Japan a terrible blow. Under this impact, the
reactionary and aggressive forces were able to solidify their control
and embark on that adventure of aggression and destruction that
ultimately led to the disasters of 1945.
Separate from the
armed forces were the forces of monopoly capitalism, the eight great
economic complexes controlled as family units knows as "zaibatsu" which
controlled 75% of the nation's wealth. By 1930, the militarists and
zaibatsu came together in their last fateful alliance.
Japan's
unfavorable balance of trade was reflected in a heavy outflow of gold
in 1937-1938. It was clear that Japan was losing its financial and
commercial ability to buy necessary materials of foreign origin. The
steps taken by America, Australia, and others to restrict export of
strategic or military materials to Japan made this problem even more
acute. The attack on China had been intended to remedy this situation
by removing the Chinese boycott on Japanese goods.
Under the
pressure of the growing reluctance of neutral countries to supply Japan
with necessary strategic goods, the most vital being petroleum products
and rubber, it seemed that the occupation of the Dutch Indies and
Malaya could do much to alleviate these shortages but which would lead
to an American war on Japan. They decided to attack the United States
first.
THE ITALIAN ASSAULT, 1934-1936 In 1922,
the Fascists came to power in a parliamentary system; in 1925 it was
replaced by a political dictatorship while the economic system remained
that of orthodox financial capitalism; in 1927 an orthodox and
restrictive stabilization of the lira on the international gold
standard led to such depressed economic conditions that Mussolini
adopted a much more active foreign policy; in 1934 Italy replaced
orthodox economic measures by a totalitarian economy functioning
beneath a fraudulent corporate facade.
Italy was dissatisfied
over its lack of colonial gains at Versailles and the refusal of the
League to accede to Tittoni's request for a redistribution of the
world's resources in accordance with population needs made in 1920.
In
a series of agreements with Austria and Hungary known as the "Rome
Protocols," the Austrian government under Engelbert Dollfuss destroyed
the democratic institutions of Austria, wiped out all Socialist and
working-class organizations, and established a one-party dictatorial
corporate state at Mussolini's behest in 1934. Hitler took advantage of
this to attempt a Nazi coup in Austria, murdering Dollfuss in July 1934
but he was prevented by the quick mobilization of Italian troops on the
Brenner frontier and a stern warning from Mussolini.
Hitler's
ascension to office in Germany in 1933 found French foreign policy
paralyzed by British opposition to any efforts to support collective
security or to enforce German observation of its treaty obligations by
force. As a result, a suggestion from Poland in 1933 for joint armed
intervention in Germany to remove Hitler from office was rejected by
France. Poland at once made an non-aggression pact with Germany and
extended a previous one with the Soviet Union.
In 1934,
France under Jean Louis Bathou, began to adopt a more active policy
against Hitler seeking to encircle Germany by bringing the Soviet Union
and Italy into a revived alignment of France, Poland, the Little
Entente, Greece and Turkey.
France's Laval was convinced that
Italy could be brought into the anti-German front only if its
long-standing grievances and unfulfilled ambitions in Africa could be
met. Accordingly, he gave Mussolini 7% of the stock in the
Djibouti-Addis Ababa Railway, a stretch of desert 114,000 square miles
in extent but containing only a few hundred persons (sixty-two
according to Mussolini) on the border of Libya, a small wedge of
territory between French Somaliland and Italian Eritrea, and the right
to ask for concessions throughout Ethiopia.
While Laval
insisted that he had made no agreement which jeopardized Ethiopia's
independence or territorial integrity, he made it equally clear that
Italian support against Germany was more important than the integrity
of Ethiopia in his eyes. France had been Ethiopia's only friend and had
brought it into the League of Nations. Italy had been prevented from
conquering Ethiopia in 1896 only by a decisive defeat of her invading
forces at the hands of the Ethiopians themselves, while in 1925,
Britain and Italy had cut her up into economic spheres by an agreement
which was annulled by a French appeal to the League. Laval's
renunciation of France's traditional support of Ethiopian independence
brought Italy, Britain and France into agreement on this issue.
This
point of view was not shared by public opinion in these three
countries. Stanley Baldwin (party leader and prime minister) erected
one of the most astonishing examples of British "dual" policy in the
appeasement period. While publicly supporting collective security and
sanctions against Italian aggression, the government privately
negotiated to destroy the League and to yield Ethiopia to Italy. They
were completely successful in this secret policy.
The
Italian invaders had no real fear of British military sanctions when
they put a major part of their forces in the Red Sea separated from
home by the British-controlled Suez canal. The British government's
position was clearly stated in a secret report by Sir John Maffey which
declared that Italian control of Ethiopia would be a "matter of
indifference" to Britain. This opinion was shared by the French
government too. Unfortunately, public opinion was insisting on
collective sanctions against the aggressor. To meet this demand, both
governments engaged in a public policy of unenforced or partially
enforced sanctions at wide variance with their real intentions.
Foreign
Secretary Samuel Hoare delivered a smashing speech to support sanctions
against Italy. The day previously he and Anthony Eden had secretly
agreed with Pierre Laval to impose only partial economic sanctions
avoiding all actions such as blockade of the Suez canal.
A
number of governments including Belgium, Czechoslovakia, France and
Britain had stopped all exports of munitions to Ethiopia as early as
May 1935 although Ethiopia's appeal to the League for help had been
made on March 17th while the Italian attack did not come until October.
The net result was that Ethiopia was left defenceless and her appeal to
the US for support was at once rejected. Hoare's speech evoked such
applause from the British public that Baldwin decided to hold a general
election on that issue. Accordingly, with ringing pledge to support
collective security, the National government won an amazing victory and
stayed in power until the next general election ten years later (1945).
Although
Article 16 of the League Covenant bound the signers to break off all
trade with an aggressor, France and Britain combined to keep their
economic sanctions partial and ineffective. The imposition of oil
sanctions was put off again and again until the conquest of Ethiopia
was complete. The refusal to establish this sanction resulted from a
joint British-French refusal on the grounds that an oil sanction would
be so effective that Italy would be compelled to break of its was with
Ethiopia and would, in desperation, make war on Britain and France.
This, at least, was the amazing logic offered by the British government
later.
Hoare and Laval worked out a secret deal which would
have given Italy outright about one-sixth of Ethiopia. When news of
this deal was broken to the public, there was a roar of protest on the
grounds that this violated the election pledge made but a month
previously. To save his government, Baldwin had to sacrifice Hoare who
resigned on December 19 but returned to Cabinet on June 5 as soon as
Ethiopia was decently buried. Laval fell from office and was succeeded
by Pierre Flandin who pursued the same policy.
Ethiopia was
conquered on May 2 1936. Sanctions were removed in the next two months
just as they were beginning to take effect. The consequences of the
Ethiopian fiasco were of the greatest importance.
The
Conservative Party in England was entrenched in office for a decade
during which it carried out its policy of appeasement and waged the
resulting war. The US passed a "Neutrality Act" which encouraged
aggression, at the outbreak of war, by cutting off supplies to both
sides, to the aggressor who had armed at his leisure and to the victim
as yet unarmed. Above all, it destroyed French efforts to encircle
Germany.
CIRCLES AND COUNTERCIRCLES, 1935-1939The
remilitarization of the Rhineland in violation of the Versailles Treaty
was the most important result of the Ethiopian crisis.
In
order to destroy the French and Soviet alliances with Czechoslovakia,
Britain and Germany sought to encircle France and the Soviet Union in
order to dissuade France from honoring its alliances with either
Czechoslovakia or the Soviet Union and France, finding itself
encircled, dishonored its alliance with Czechoslovakia when it came due
in 1938.
The British attitude towards eastern Europe was made
perfectly clear when Sir John Simon demanded arms equality for Germany.
Adding to the encirclement of France was the Anglo-German Naval
Agreement of June 1935.
Parallel with the encirclement of
France went the encirclement of the Soviet Union known as the
anti-Comintern Pact, the union of Germany and Japan against Communism.
The last encirclement was that against Czechoslovakia. Hungary and
Germany were both opposed to Czechoslovakia as an "artificial" creation
of the Versailles Conference. The Polish-German agreement of 1934
opened a campaign until the Polish invasion in 1938.
An
analysis of the motivations of Britain in 1938-1939 is bound to be
difficult because the motives of government were clearly not the same
as the motives of the people and in no country has secrecy and
anonymity been carried so has been been so well preserved as in
Britain. In general, motives become vaguer and less secret as we move
our attention from the innermost circles of the government outward. As
if we were looking at the layers of an onion, we may discern four
points of view:
1) the anti-Bolsheviks at the center;
2) the "three-bloc-world" supporters close to the center;
3) the supporters of "appeasement" and
4) the "peace at any price" group in peripheral position.
The
chief figures in the anti-Bolshevik group were Lord Curzon, Lord
D'Abernon and General Smuts. They did what they could to destroy
reparations and permit German re-armament.
This point of
view was supported by the second group, the Round Table Group, and came
later to be called the Clivenden Set which included Lord Milner, Lord
Brand (managing director of Lazard Brothers, international bankers).
This group wielded great influence because it controlled the Rhodes
Trust and dominated the Royal Institute of International Affairs. They
sought to contain the Soviet Union rather than destroy it as the
anti-Bolsheviks wanted. They advocated a secret alliance of Britain
with the German military leaders against the Soviet.
Abandoning
Austria, Czechoslovakia and the Polish Corridor to Germany was the aim
of both the anti-Bolsheviks and the "three-bloc" people.
From
August 1935 to March 1939, the government built upon the fears of the
"peace at any price" group by steadily exaggerating Germany's armed
might and belittling their own, by calculated indiscretions like the
statement that there were no real anti-aircraft guns in London, by
constant hammering at the danger of air attack without warning, by
building ostentatious and quite useless air-raid trenches in the
streets and parks of London, and by insisting through daily warnings
that everyone must be fitted with a gas mask immediately (although the
danger of a gas attack was nil).
In this way, the government put
London into a panic in 1938 and by this panic, Chamberlain was able to
get the people to accept the destruction of Czechoslovakia. Since he
could not openly appeal on the anti-Bolshevik basis, he had to adopt
the expedient of pretending to resist (in order to satisfy the British
public) while really continuing to make every possible concession to
Hitler which would bring Germany to a common frontier with the Soviet
Union.
Chamberlain's motives were not really bad ones; he
wanted peace so he could devote Britain's limited resources to social
welfare; but he was narrow and totally ignorant of the realities of
power, convinced that international politics could be conducted in
terms of secret deals, as business was, and he was quite ruthless in
carrying out his aims, especially in his readiness to sacrifice
non-English persons who, in his eyes, did not count.
CHAPTER XIII: THE DISRUPTION OF EUROPE, 1937-1939AUSTRIA INFELIX, 1933-1938The
Austria which was left after the Treaty of St. Germain consisted of
little more than the great city of Vienna surrounded by a huge but
inadequate suburb whose population had been reduced from 52 to 6.6
million.
The Social Democrats were unable to reconcile their
desire for union with Germany (called Anschluss) with the need for
financial aid from the Entente Powers who opposed this. The Social
Democrats embarked on an amazing program of social welfare by a system
of direct taxes which bore heavily on the well-to-do.
Before
1914, the living conditions of the poor had been maintained by a very
undemocratic political system under which only 83,000 persons, on a
property basis, were allowed to vote and 5,500 of the richest were
allowed to choose one-third of all seats on city council. By 1933, the
Social Democrats had built almost 60,000 dwellings so efficiently that
the average cost per apartment was only about $1,650 each with average
rent of $2 per month. Thus the poor of Vienna had all kinds of free or
cheap medical care, dental care, education, libraries, amusements,
sports, school lunches and maternity care provided by the city.
While
this was going on in Vienna, the Christian Socialist-Pan-German federal
government of Catholic priest Monsignor Ignaz Seipel was sinking deeper
into corruption. The diversion of public funds to banks and industries
controlled by Seipel's supporters was revealed by parliamentary
investigations in spite of the government's efforts to conceal the
facts.
Seipel formed a "Unity List" of all the anti-Socialist
parties he could muster but the election gave his party only 73 seats
compared to 71 for the Social Democrats, 12 for the pan-Germans, 9 for
the Agrarian League. He sought to change the Austrian constitution into
a presidential dictatorship which required a two-thirds vote. It became
necessary to use illegal methods.
The secret documents
published since 1945 make it quite clear that Germany had no carefully
laid plans to annex Austria and was not encouraging violence by the
Nazis in Austria. Instead, every effort was made to restrict the
Austrian Nazis to propaganda in order to win a gradual peaceful
extension of Nazi influence.
The invasion of Austria in 1938
was a pleasant surprise even for the Nazi leaders and arose from
several unexpected favorable circumstances. Secret documents now make
it clear that in 1937 the German and British governments made secret
decisions which sealed the fate of Austria and Czechoslovakia. It is
evident from some of Hitler's statements that he had already received
certain information about the secret decisions being made by
Chamberlain on the British side.
The British government group controlling foreign policy had reached a seven point decision regarding Germany:
1) Hitler's Germany was the front-line bulwark against the spread of Communism in Europe.
2) The aim was a four power pact including Britain, France, Italy and Germany to exclude all Russian influence from Europe.
3) Britain had no objection to German acquisition of Austria, Czechoslovakia, and Danzig.
4) Germany must not use force to achieve its aims as this would precipitate a war in which Britain would have to intervene.
5) An agreement with Germany restricting the number and use of bombing planes was desired.
6) Britain would give Germany certain (Portuguese and Belgian) African colonies, given German cooperation with the above.
7) Britain would pressure Czechoslovakia and Poland to negotiate with Germany on its desires.
For
years before June 1938, the government insisted that British rearming
was progressing in a satisfactory fashion. Churchill questioned this
and produced figures on German rearmament to prove that Britain's own
progress in this field was inadequate. These figures (which were not
correct) were denied by the government. As late as March 1938,
Chamberlain said that British rearmament were such as to make Britain
an "almost terrifying power." But as the year went on, the government
adopted a quite different attitude. In order to persuade public opinion
that it was necessary to yield to Germany, the government pretended
that its armaments were quite inadequate.
We now know that
this was a gross exaggeration. Britain produced almost 3000 "military"
planes in 1938 and about 8,000 in 1939 compared to 3350 "combat" planes
produced in Germany in 1938 and 4,733 in 1939.
It is
quite clear that Britain did not yield to superior force in 1938, as
was stated at the time and has been stated since by many writers
including Churchill. We have evidence that Chamberlain knew these facts
but consistently gave a contrary impression and that Lord Halifax went
so far as to call forth protests from the British military attaches in
Prague and Paris.
The British government made it clear to
Germany both publicly and privately that they would not oppose
Germany's projects. Dirksen wrote to Ribbentrop on June 3 1938
"Anything which could be got without firing a shot can count upon the
agreement of the British."
THE CZECHOSLOVAK CRISIS, 1937-1938The
economic discontent became stronger after the onset of the world
depression in 1929 and especially after Hitler demonstrated that his
policies could bring prosperity to Germany.
Within two weeks
of Hitler's annexation of Austria, Britain put pressure on the Czechs
to make concessions to the Germans; to encourage France and Germany to
do the same. All this was justified by the argument that Germany would
be satisfied if it obtained the Sudetenland and the Polish Corridor.
All these assumptions were dubious.
Czechoslovakia was
eliminated with the help of German aggression, French indecision and
war-weariness, and British public appeasement and merciless secret
pressure.
Five days after Anschluss, the Soviet government
call for collective actions to stop aggression and to eliminate the
increased danger of a new world slaughter was rejected by Lord Halifax.
It was necessary to impose the plan for Czechoslovakia on
public opinion of the world by means of the slowly mounting war scare
which reached the level of absolute panic on September 28th. The
mounting horror of the relentless German mobilization was built up day
by day while Britain and France ordered the Czechs not to mobilize in
order "not to provoke Germany."
We now know that all these
statements and rumors were not true and that the British government
knew that they were not true at the time.
The Chamberlain
government knew these facts but consistently gave a contrary
impression. Lord Halifax particularly distorted the facts. Just as the
crisis was reaching the boiling point in September 1938, the British
ambassador in Paris reported to London that Colonel Lindbergh had just
emerged from Germany with a report that Germany had 8,000 military
planes and could manufacture 1,500 a month. We now know that Germany
had about 1,500 planes, manufactured 280 a month.
Lindbergh
repeated his tale of woe daily both in Paris and in London during the
crisis. The British government began to fit the people of London with
gas masks, the prime minister and the king called on the people to dig
trenches in the parks, schoolchildren began to be evacuated. In
general, every report or rumor which could add to the panic and
defeatism was played up, and everything that might contribute to a
strong or a united resistance to Germany was played down.
The
Anglo-French decision was presented to the Czechoslovak government at
2a.m. on September 19 to be accepted at once. The Czechoslovak
government accepted at 5p.m. on September 21st. Lord Halifax at once
ordered the Czech police to be withdrawn from the Sudeten districts,
and expressed the wish that the German troops move in at once.
At
Munich, Hitler, Chamberlain, Mussolini and Daladier carved up
Czechoslovakia without consulting anyone, least of all the Czechs.
Germany was supreme in Europe. Since this was exactly what Chamberlain
and his friends had wanted, they should have been satisfied.
THE YEAR OF DUPES, 1939Concessions
to Germany continued but now parallel with concessions went a real
effort to build up a strong front against Hitler.
The
anti-Bolshevik and "three-bloc-world" groups had expected Hitler would
get the Sudetenland, Danzig, and perhaps the Polish Corridor and that
he would then be stabilized between the "oceanic bloc" and the Soviet
Union.
As a result of these hidden and conflicting forces, the
history of international relations from September 1938 and September
1939 or even later is neither simple nor consistent.
In
general, the key to everything was the position of Britain. As a result
of Lord Halifax's "dyarchic" policy, there were not only two policies
but two groups carrying them out. Lord Halifax tried to satisfy the
public demand for an end to appeasement; while Chamberlain, Wilson,
Simon and Hoare sought to make secret concessions to Hitler in order to
achieve a general Anglo-German settlement.
The one policy was
public; the other was secret. Since the Foreign Office knew of both, it
tried to build up the "peace front" against Germany so that it would
look sufficiently imposing to satisfy public opinion and to drive
Hitler to seek his desires by negotiation rather than by force so that
public opinion in England would not force the government to declare a
war that they did not want in order to remain in office.
This
complex plan broke down because Hitler was determined to have a war
merely for the personal emotional thrill of wielding great power, while
the effort to make a "peace front" sufficiently collapsible so that it
could be case aside if Hitler either obtained his goals by negotiation
or made a general settlement with Chamberlain merely resulted in making
a "peace front" which was so weak it could neither maintain peace by
threat of force nor win a war when peace was lost.
On March
15th, Chamberlain told the Commons that he accepted the seizure of
Czechoslovakia and refused to accuse Hitler of bad faith. But two days
later, when the howls of rage from the British public showed that he
had misjudged the electorate, he denounced the seizure.
However,
nothing was done other than to recall Henderson from Berlin for
consultations and cancel a visit to Berlin by the president of the
Board of Trade. The seizure was declared illegal but was recognized in
fact at once. Moreover, #6 million in Czech gold reserves in London
were turned over to Germany with the puny and untrue excuse that the
British government could not give orders to the Bank of England.
Germany
opened its negotiations with Poland in a fairly friendly way on October
24, 1938. It asked for Danzig and a strip a kilometer wide across the
Polish Corridor to provide a highway and four-track railroad under
German sovereignty. Poland's economic and harbor rights in Danzig were
to be guaranteed and the "corridor across the Corridor" was to be
isolated from Polish communications facilities by bridging or
tunneling. Germany also wanted Poland to join an anti-Russian bloc.
Germany was prepared to guarantee the country's existing frontiers, to
extend the Non-aggression Pact of 1934 for 25 years, to guarantee the
independence of Slovakia and to dispose of Ruthenia as Poland wished.
These suggestions were rejected by Poland. About the same time, the
Germans were using pressure on Romania to obtain an economic agreement
which was signed on March 23rd.
On March 17, London received a
false report of a German ultimatum to Romania. Lord Halifax lost his
head and, without checking his information, sent telegrams to Greece,
Turkey, Poland, Bulgaria, Soviet Union asking what each country was
prepared to do in the event of a German aggression against Romania.
Four replied by asking London what it was prepared to do but Moscow
suggested and immediate conference which Halifax rebuffed, wanting
nothing more than an agreement to consult in a crisis. Poland was
reluctant to sign any agreement involving Russia. However, when news
reached London of Hitler's demands on Poland, Britain suddenly issued a
unilateral guarantee of the latter state (March 31st).
"In the
event of any action which clearly threatened Polish independence and
which the Polish government accordingly considered it vital to resist
with their national forces, His Majesty's Government would feel
themselves bound at once to lend the Polish Government all support in
their power."
This was an extraordinary assurance. The British
government since 1918 had resolutely refused any bilateral agreement
guaranteeing any state in western Europe. Now they were making a
"unilateral" declaration in "eastern" Europe and they were giving that
state the responsibility of deciding when that guarantee would take
effect, something quite unprecedented. If Germany used force in Poland,
public opinion in Britain would force Britain to declare war whether
there was a guarantee or not.
If the chief purpose of the unilateral guarantee to Poland was to frighten Germany, it had precisely the opposite effect.
Hitler
announced that the terms he had offered Poland had been rejected,
negotiations broken off. The crisis was intensified by provocative acts
on both sides.
In 1939, there was talk of a British loan to
Poland of #100 million in May; on August 1 Poland finally got a credit
for $8 million at a time when all London was buzzing about a secret
loan of #1 billion from Britain to Germany.
In 1936, Poland
was given 2 billion francs as a rearmament loan and on May 19, 1939, an
agreement was signed by which France promised full air support to
Poland on the first day of war, local skirmishing by the third day, and
a full-scale offensive on the sixteenth day.
On Aug. 23,
General Gamelin informed his government that no military support could
be given to Poland until the spring of 1940 and that a full-scale
offensive could not be made before 1941-1942. Poland was never informed
of this change and seems to have entered the war on September 1st in
the belief that a full-scale offensive would be made against Germany
during September.
The failure to support Poland was
probably deliberate in the hope that this would force Poland to
negotiate with Hitler. If so, it was a complete failure. Poland was so
encouraged by the British guarantee that it not only refused to make
concessions but also prevented the reopening of negotiations by one
excuse after another until the last day of peace.
In
light of these facts, the British efforts to reach a settlement with
Hitler and their reluctance to make an alliance with Russia, were very
unrealistic. Nevertheless, they continued to exhort the Poles to reopen
negotiations with Hitler, and continued to inform the German government
that the justice of their claims to Danzig and the Corridor were
recognized but that these claims must be fulfilled by peaceful means
and that force would inevitably be met with force.
The British
continued to emphasize that the controversy was over Danzig when
everyone else knew that Danzig was merely a detail, and an almost
indefensible detail. Danzig was no issue on which to fight a world war,
but it was an issue on which negotiation was almost mandatory. This may
have been why Britain insisted that it was the chief issue. But because
it was not the chief issue, Poland refused to negotiate because it
feared it would lead to partition of Poland.
Danzig was a free
city under supervision of the League of Nations and while it was within
the Polish customs and under Polish economic control, it was already
controlled politically under a German Gauleiter and would at any moment
vote to join Germany if Hitler consented.
Lord Halifax's
report reads: "Herr Hitler asked whether England would be willing to
accept an alliance with Germany. I said I did not exclude such a
possibility provided the development of events justified it."
The
theory that Russia learned of these British approaches to Germany in
July 1939 is supported by the fact that the obstacles and delays in the
path of a British-Russian agreement were made by Britain from the
middle of April to the second week of July but were made by Russia from
the second week in July to the end on August 21st.
The
Russians probably regarded the first British suggestion that the Soviet
Union should give unilateral guarantees to Poland similar to those of
Britain as a trap to get them into a war with Germany in which Britain
would do little or nothing or even give aid to Germany. That this last
possibility was not completely beyond reality is clear from the fact
that Britain did prepare an expeditionary force to attack Russia in
March 1940 when Britain was technically at war with Germany but was
doing nothing to fight her.
Russia offered the guarantee if it
were extended to all states on their western frontier including
Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania. This offer
meant that Russia was guaranteeing its renunciation of all the
territory in these six states which it had lost to them since 1917.
Instead
of accepting the offer, the British began to quibble. They refused to
guarantee the Baltic States on the ground that these states did not
want to be guaranteed although they had guaranteed Poland on March 31st
when Jozef Beck did not want it and had just asked the Soviet Union to
guarantee Poland and Romania, neither of whom wanted a Soviet
guarantee. When the Russians insisted, the British countered by
insisting that Greece, Turkey, Holland, Belgium, and Switzerland must
also be guaranteed.
France and Russia were both pushing
Britain to form a Triple Alliance but Britain was reluctant and delayed
the discussions to the great irritation of the Soviet leaders. To show
its displeasure, the Soviet Union on May 3rd replaced Litvinov with
Molotov as foreign minister. This would have been a warning, Litvinov
knew the West and was favorable to democracy and to the Western Powers.
As a Jew, he was anti-Hitler. Molotov was a contrast from every point
of view.
On May 19th, Chamberlain refused an alliance and
pointed with satisfaction to "that great virile nation on the borders
of Germany which under this agreement (of April 6th) is bound to give
us all the aid and assistance it can." He was talking about Poland!
The
members of the military mission took a slow ship (speed thirteen knots)
and did not reach Moscow until August 11th. They were again negotiators
of second rank. In London, according to rumor, neither side wanted an
agreement. Considering Chamberlain's secret efforts to make a
settlement with Germany, there is no reason to believe that he wanted
an agreement with Russia.
The Russians demanded an exact
military commitment as to what forces would be used against Germany;
they wanted guarantees whether the states concerned accepted or not;
they wanted specific permission to fight across a territory such as
Poland. These demands were flatly rejected by Poland on August 19th. On
the same day, Russia signed a commercial treaty with Germany. Two days
later, France ordered its negotiators to sign the right to cross Poland
but Russia refused to accept this until Poland consented as well.
On
Aug. 23, Ribbentrop and Molotov signed an agreement which provided that
neither signer would take any aggressive action against the other
signer or give any support to a third Power in such action. The secret
protocol delimited spheres of interest in eastern Europe. The line
followed the northern boundary of Lithuania and the Narew, Vistula, and
San rivers in Poland and Germany gave Russia a free hand in Bessarabia.
This agreement was greeted as a stunning surprise in the Entente
countries. There was no reason why it should have been.
The
British begged the Poles and the Germans to negotiate; the Italians
tried to arrange another four-Power conference; various outsiders
issued public and private appeals for peace; secret emissaries flew
back and forth between London and Germany.
All this was in
vain because Hitler was determined on war and his attention was devoted
to manufacturing incidents to justify his approaching attack. Political
prisoners were taken from concentration camps, dressed in German
uniforms, and killed on the Polish frontier as "evidence" of Polish
aggression. A fraudulent ultimatum with sixteen superficially
reasonable demands on Poland was presented to the British ambassador
when the time limit had elapsed. It was not presented to the Poles
because the Polish ambassador in Berlin had been ordered by Beck not to
accept any document from the Germans.
The German invasion of
Poland at 4:45a.m. on September 1, 1939, did not end the negotiations
to make peace, nor did the complete collapse of Polish resistance on
September 16. Since these efforts were futile, little need be said of
them except that France and Britain did not declare war on Germany
until more than two days had elapsed. During this time, no ultimatums
were sent to Germany. On September 3 at 9a.m., Britain presented an
ultimatum which expired at 11a.m. In a similar fashion, France entered
the war at 6p.m. on September 3.
Source:
http://www.cyberclass.net/turmel/quig00.htm
Then
in July 1936 the Spanish civil war began. Tory ideological dread was brought
to a fine edge. The Spanish civil war could lead to a European conflict
between ideological blocs; and war could provoke the spread of communist
revolution or Soviet influence. It was better, a lot of Tories thought,
to turn Germany eastward against the USSR. "Let gallant little Germany
glut her fill of reds in the East...," suggested one Tory M.P. (Henry Channon,
September 1936).
Even the British prime minister, Stanley Baldwin was attracted
by the idea.
http://gozips.uakron.edu/~mcarley/COLDWAR.html
Baldwin took the view
that Germany planned to strike east not west; that a showdown between
the Nazis and Bolsheviks wouldn't be a bad thing...
http://www.winstonchurchill.org/i4a/pages/index.cfm?pageid=746
Baldwin reveals with equal clarity
that he is ambivalent about what sort of foreign policy to follow. He
is suspicious of an alliance with Russia, and also with France, which
he feared was connected to Russia: "If there is any fighting in Europe
to be done, I should like to see the Bolshies and the Nazis doing it."
Churchill himself was
presented with this same idea by Stanley Baldwin, who hoped to wait in
prosperity, peace, and relative weakness while the "Bolshies and the
Nazis fought it out."
http://www.winstonchurchill.org/i4a/pages/index.cfm?pageid=79
And by this date, certain members of the Milner Group and of the
British Conservative government had reached the fantastic idea that
they could kill two birds with one stone by setting Germany and Russia
against one another in Eastern Europe.
In this way they felt that the
two enemies would stalemate one another, or that Germany would become
satisfied with the oil of Rumania and the wheat of the Ukraine.
It
never occurred to anyone in a responsible position that Germany and
Russia might make common cause, even temporarily, against the West.
Even less did it occur to them that Russia might beat Germany and thus
open all Central Europe to Bolshevism.http://yamaguchy.netfirms.com/cikkek/anglo_12b.html
...egging on the Germans to march farther east, promising them
easy pickings, and prompting them: "Just start war on the Bolsheviks,
and everything will be all right." It must be admitted that this too
looks very much like egging on and encouraging the aggressor...
-- Stalin's assessment of the international situation in March, 1939.
http://www.shunpiking.com/ol0207/0207-JS-rep2cong.htm
...Their
purpose is to connive at wars of aggression and to profit by them...
Then they wanted to sacrifice the Soviet Union. This plot was clearly
revealed in the recent Anglo-French-Soviet talks.
..."The
inevitable result of Chamberlain's policy will be like 'lifting a rock
only to drop it on one's own toes'." Chamberlain started with the aim
of injuring others only to end up by ruining himself. This is the law
of development which governs all reactionary policies...
-- Mao Zedong's views on the international situation in September 1939.
http://marxists.org/reference/archive/mao/selected-works/volume-2/mswv2_17.htm
...(England)
kept hoping against hope that she could embroil Russia and Germany with
each other and thus escape scot-free herself.'
-- Harold
L. Ickes, U.S. Secretary of the Interior, The Secret Diary of Harold L.
Ickes (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1954), p. 705.
http://www.plp.org/books/Stalin/node131.html
Edited by Bankotsu - 22-Mar-2007 at 00:05