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Roberts
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Topic: Russia's attack disproportionate Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 00:35 |
How the hell is it even possible that OS separatist are still armed
(even with heavy artillery pieces) after so many years with Russian
"peacekeepers" in the region.
The Russian peacekeepers have done a really poor job in my opinion.
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Sarmat
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 00:36 |
At the moment Putin, of course.
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Roberts
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 00:50 |
Two very interesting articles in my opinion about this whole conflict and future geopolitical implications. Both in Russian though, sorry (just checked, imo google translator is quite good) The first one is from Russia, interesting to note that there are people who think differently there, not so emotional. http://www.ej.ru/?a=note&id=8288Second one from Ukraine and focuses on geopolitics. http://politics.in.ua/index.php?go=News&in=view&id=10428
Edited by Roberts - 12-Aug-2008 at 00:51
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Sarmat
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 01:11 |
Originally posted by Roberts
How the hell is it even possible that OS separatist are still armed (even with heavy artillery pieces) after so many years with Russian "peacekeepers" in the region.
The Russian peacekeepers have done a really poor job in my opinion. |
OS separatists weapons are much inferior to those the Georgian army has. The recent fighting proved it.
The peacekeepers' job isn't disarming the conflicting parties.
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Seko
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 01:12 |
Can someone give us the cliff note version of what the links say?
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Anton
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 01:37 |
Originally posted by Roberts
The first one is from Russia, interesting to note that there are people who think differently there, not so emotional. http://www.ej.ru/?a=note&id=8288
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Actually this "krovavoe gebyo" type of attitude is quite emotional.
This review is apparently very balanced. Although I think that this idea that all this story was orchestrated from Washington questionable. I would say USA is not in good position either. Basically author claim that Washington is interested Russia to go as deep into this coflict as possible as this will mimick problems of USA in Afganistan and Iraq. I think that if Russia stops in the border of SO or around and keep status quo but wih recognintion of SO and Abhazia she will get much more dividents than USA. I don't either think that similar situation can happen in Ukraine and even more unlikely in Baltic countries as those states declearly behave in a more civilized way. Instead, Russia will use here economical ways of influence. Finally, territorial integrity of Ukraine is not questioned by any thinking person in Russia. But obviously Russia will do its best to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO.
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Zagros
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 04:11 |
A probable explanation for the indiscriminate attacks on Ossetian civilians: Israeli warfare tactics.
Israel 'has a hand in S. Ossetia war'
August 10 2008 at 6:23 PM Israel has provided Georgia with military assistance amid an ongoing armed conflict in the breakaway region of South Ossetia. http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=66203§ionid=351020202 |
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Styrbiorn
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 11:33 |
Originally posted by Roberts
How the hell is it even possible that OS separatist are still armed
(even with heavy artillery pieces) after so many years with Russian
"peacekeepers" in the region.
The Russian peacekeepers have done a really poor job in my opinion.
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The Russians weren't there to keep the peace, but setting up the trap the Georgians walked straight into. Had the Russians cared about the civilians they would have stopped the rebel Ossetian attacks on civilian Georgians a long time ago, who at least until recently were still the majority in South Ossetia. On the contrary, the Russians have been arming the separatists in South Ossetia as well as in Abkhazia (which you all know were ethnically cleansed from Georgians). All the Russians care about is to make an example and strengthen their hold on the Caspian oil. As it were, the Georgians became tired of rebel attacks and Russian meddling in their internal affairs. I only hope NATO won't bother with this, and sacrifice the Georgians in favour of not escalating the mess. And then place troops in Balticum to prevent the Russians to play the same game with Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania.
Edited by Styrbiorn - 12-Aug-2008 at 11:38
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Anton
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:04 |
Originally posted by Styrbiorn
I only hope NATO won't bother with this, and sacrifice the Georgians in favour of not escalating the mess. And then place troops in Balticum to prevent the Russians to play the same game with Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania.
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What I hope, is that Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania will not kill Russian citizens by hundreds as Georgians did, which according to your logic is possible. If I were you I would think better about your neighbours and EU partners.
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Antioxos
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:12 |
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Styrbiorn
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:18 |
Originally posted by Anton
Originally posted by Styrbiorn
I only hope NATO won't bother with this, and sacrifice the Georgians in favour of not escalating the mess. And then place troops in Balticum to prevent the Russians to play the same game with Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania.
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What I hope, is that Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania will not kill Russian citizens by hundreds as Georgians did, which according to your logic is possible. If I were you I would think better about your neighbours and EU partners. |
Complete misinterpretation on your part, if that's what you think I wrote. The Abkhazians ethnically cleansed Abkhazia from Georgians, with Russian approval. Ossetian separatists, armed by Russia, has been attacking Georgian targets. If this starts to happen in Estonia etc, the Ests have all the right in the world to kick out the Russians. The Georgians are the ones who have been targets for ethnic cleansing, not the other way around. About the alleged massacres of Ossetian civilians, I will say nothing until the smoke clears. I don't trust the media of either side during the conflict.
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Omar al Hashim
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:26 |
I don't think anyone is ethnically cleansing anyone. Both Georgia and Russia are multi-ethnic multi-cultural states neither of whom have the historical precedent. This is the caucuses, not the balkans.
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Styrbiorn
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:32 |
Originally posted by Omar al Hashim
I don't think anyone is ethnically cleansing anyone. Both Georgia and Russia are multi-ethnic multi-cultural states neither of whom have the historical precedent. This is the caucuses, not the balkans.
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Nonetheless, that's exactly what the Abkhazians did in the 90s, when they killed 20,000 and expelled another 200,000 Georgians. There weren't any historical precedents of cleansings prior to the 20th century in Yugoslavia either, and that didn't stop them. Edit: link: http://www.hrw.org/reports/pdfs/g/georgia/georgia953.pdf
Edited by Styrbiorn - 12-Aug-2008 at 12:34
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Anton
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:40 |
Originally posted by Styrbiorn
The Georgians are the ones who have been targets for ethnic cleansing, not the other way around.
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No actually, the Georgians were ones to not recognize the independence of Abhazia and Osetia which were declared on the same reason as declaration of independence of Georgia itself. Ethnic cleansing was bipolar, Georgians were for sure not angels in those wars and only internal georgian civil war actually prevented them to cleanse those two republics 15 years ago. So, you completely misinterpret avzailable data yourself, which is obviously because of the bias toward Russia. This bias is not something surprising, given that brainwashing during Col-War happened not only in Eastern Block.
About the alleged massacres of Ossetian civilians, I will say nothing until the smoke clears. I don't trust the media of either side during the conflict.
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This was shown in English ITV1 yesterday for example.
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Styrbiorn
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 12:55 |
Originally posted by Anton
No actually, the Georgians were ones to not recognize the independence of Abhazia and Osetia which were declared on the same reason as declaration of independence of Georgia itself. Ethnic cleansing was bipolar, Georgians were for sure not angels in those wars and only internal georgian civil war actually prevented them to cleanse those two republics 15 years ago. So, you completely misinterpret avzailable data yourself, which is obviously because of the bias toward Russia. This bias is not something surprising, given that brainwashing during Col-War happened not only in Eastern Block.
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Why would they recognize their independence? The majority of the population of those provinces were Georgian. If I have a bias against Russia it's because of their constant tendency to invade small, neighbouring countries. I'm not "anti-Russian" or somesuch, if that's what you believe.
This was shown in English ITV1 yesterday for example. |
I have yet to see anything convincing, though I'm not saying it's impossible.
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Roberts
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 13:00 |
Anton, do you agree that Russia used Osetines and Abhazians all this time like as a tools to influence state of Georgia?
For example, if there was pro-Russian dictator in Georgia like Aleksandr Lukashenko in Belarus, who would come with an offer to Russia like "I will give you full control of pipeline, but all you have to do is stay neutral, I have some rebellious minorities to suppress." What kind of answer will Russia give?
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Anton
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 13:38 |
Yes I do agree with that. This however is not unique for Russia. USA behaves in a similar manner. But at least untill recently, Russia behaved more consistantly than Western countries, supporting both Serbian and Georgian territorial integrities.
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Styrbiorn
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 13:42 |
Originally posted by Anton
Yes I do agree with that. This however is not unique for
Russia. USA behaves in a similar manner. But at least untill recently,
Russia behaved more consistantly than Western countries, supporting
both Serbian and Georgian territorial integrities. |
Just to clarify to my post above: I do think the Georgians broke the cease fire and started the hostilities. However the Russians are overreacting, and it's pretty obvious that they are not fighting because of altruistic reasons. And yes, the West is bloody hypocrites, eg when it comes to Serbia.
Edited by Styrbiorn - 12-Aug-2008 at 13:43
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Anton
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 13:44 |
Originally posted by Styrbiorn
Why would they recognize their independence? The majority of the population of those provinces were Georgian. If I have a bias against Russia it's because of their constant tendency to invade small, neighbouring countries. I'm not "anti-Russian" or somesuch, if that's what you believe.
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How would it be a majority if majority voted for independence? That does not make any sence. I do not believe that you are anti-Russian but you are biased as a consequence of cold war. Russia (not SU) so far didn't invade any which cannot be said for NATO block.
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Styrbiorn
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Posted: 12-Aug-2008 at 13:54 |
Originally posted by Anton
Originally posted by Styrbiorn
Why would they recognize their independence? The majority of the population of those provinces were Georgian. If I have a bias against Russia it's because of their constant tendency to invade small, neighbouring countries. I'm not "anti-Russian" or somesuch, if that's what you believe.
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How would it be a majority if majority voted for independence? That does not make any sence. I do not believe that you are anti-Russian but you are biased as a consequence of cold war. Russia (not SU) so far didn't invade any which cannot be said for NATO block.
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Which referendum are you refereing to? The one about preservation of the Soviet Union in which the resident Georgians didn't even take part in?
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