Georgia's future?

 

Edited by Kevin - 09-Aug-2008 at 13:34

Essentially the Russian are saying to their neighbours "bend over, we are back comrade"!

Originally posted by Bankotsu It is hard to tell for now. One important factor is whether USA/NATO will continue to support Georgia. So far USA has not made a strong statement about its intentions towards the current war.

I really doubt the Russian are sending whole corps to the theater just to dispatch Georgians. I mean a reinforced division would be enough. I would not be surprised if the Russian are going to go into Georgia in a big way. Get rid of Shaakivalli (sp?) and put a puppet government incharge.

It will create a georgeo-turkic axis that will further isolate Armenia, strengthen american presence in the region and will reignite some of the struggles mainly the qarabagh strugle and the minor Armenian region of Smatskhe (hope I got it right). russia will most likely force Abkhazia and Ossetia's independence, the former is more likely for geographical reasons.

Originally posted by Bankotsu They think that with western backing or by joining NATO, they can act like the baltic states.

What does it mean? How do we act according to you?

Originally posted by Bankotsu More assertive towards Russia? More anti-Russian?

Anti-Russian is a wide conception.
Now I would describe at least Latvian relationships with Russia as only business.

Yes. I checked. Estonia can mobilize up to 210k men. Georgia can mobilize 100k by what I read on Wiki. Don't know if I can trust that though. CIA tells me that Georgia can mobilize around 900k though. Don't know what to trust (CIA obviously).

Sorry for confusing the population... :P

Russian equipment is old though... 

i really fear for the current situation georgia are not going to back down (quite rightly) an even the combined power of UN NATO and US my not convience Putin and his puppet president to call off the war, conversly the rest of the word cannot afford to sit back and allow russia to do do this as they may take other liberties a la the Nazis and a word war could be in the offing that said i do bleive that no one wants that and so it should just stop short but the rest of the world needs to back georgia if it doesnt want the new USSR or Cold war and by back i mean unaquivaclly not just a watery stament of intent they need to say to russia we weill go to war over this back off even if they have actually no intent of going to war as statments or UN reselution will not scare Russia, action from most of europe or at least threats of it might   

Originally posted by Sparten I really doubt the Russian are sending whole corps to the theater just to dispatch Georgians. I mean a reinforced division would be enough. I would not be surprised if the Russian are going to go into Georgia in a big way. Get rid of Shaakivalli (sp?) and put a puppet government incharge.   The airstrikes on Gori have killed a lot of civilians and gotten a lot of bad PR. Now way they would risk that unless they thought they would get more out of the whole operation.

Edited by pikeshot1600 - 09-Aug-2008 at 19:55