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in a coventional war who would have won u

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Poll Question: in a conventional war in 1987 who would have won nato or warsaw pact
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: in a coventional war who would have won u
    Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 07:54
you are still talking about the aircrafts that were not in Europe......
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 08:07
Originally posted by opuslola

Well, we tend to leave out the Western Navies! I know that it is said that the WP had a plan to destroy all Western carriers! But, that is easier said than done! For one, if the Western carrier groups were placed in a stand off position, they could, as was mentioned, only be attacked in a conventional manner by either long range bombers, who would be easy prey for the F-14's, etc., and/or by one way suicide attacks. In other words the attacking aircraft could reach the carrier groups but had no chance of returning to a safe airfield.
 
 
 
Yes, that was the plan. Soviet air forces formed special units which were supposed to attack US carriers with nuclear weapon and were not supposed to come back from this missions. The soviets exactly counted how many planes and rockets they need to sacrifice to make such attack. We cannot really talk about Western Navies. Other navies didnt have carriers that could have been considered by Soviets as dangerous. If I remember in such units were long range sea bombers able to operate on very high altitude. I will look for more details about it.
 
 
 
 
 


Edited by Mosquito - 15-Jul-2010 at 08:24
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  Quote Cryptic Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 08:40
Originally posted by Maximus Germanicus I

I don't doubt that the Russians could make it to the Rhine but that is where they had lose, they then would be in a protracted war with NATO and they could not sustain it. For the Russians to win they need to take the COGs of NATO (Paris and London) only then would a peace be brokered, they couldn't so WP would lose.
 
Soviets on the rhine would lead to a prolonged war that NATO could not afford.  Consider the following Soviet thoughts:
 
-Unethusiastic allies?  We are now on the strategic defensive. If the other WP send us a few reliable units for defensive operations, they get a proportional share of the loot from Germany. NATO needs to convince the unenthused to support offensive operations
 
- Uenthusiastic conscripts, high casualties?  Going to hurt NATO harder. We are a totalitarian system and can stand it longer.  Calls for peace at home?  Going to hurt the democarcies first. 
 
-U.S. Carrier raids, naval blockade? Not worried about the blockade.  We can soak up the raids,  sinking one carrier is going to cause a thousand U.S.  fatalities, we get most of our downed pilots back.  NATO loses most of theirs.
 
-Propganda War?  The war mongering leadership of the US, UK, and FRG provoked the war.  We now offer peace.  The U.S. still chooses war.  In fact, the Germans have just "elected" members of the Green Party to chair a uhmm... "national reconciliation commitee". 


Edited by Cryptic - 15-Jul-2010 at 08:53
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 09:14
Ok guys, I have consulted with my friend who is a cold war expert.
 
He told me that in the early 70ties the Soviets considered the conventional attack on Western Europe - and they didnt want to go farther than to the western border of Western Germany. Why? They saw no need to conquer France or Great Britain or Spain  or Italy. For them important targets were Germany, Denmark and Norway - what could give them the air control over northern sea and part of Atlantic without having aircraft carriers. Soviet commanders supposed that if they wont use nuclear weapons - the other side wont do it as well.
 
The goal on the Atlantic wasnt to sink the US Navy - only to stop it. For this they made new classes of ships, both submarines and Rocket Cruisers.
The submarines were type 945 (NATO CODENAME "SIERRA"), 947 (NATO CODENAME "AKULA") and Oscar class submarines - type 949 and 949 A - Navy cruise missiles submarines - the last designed to attack aircraft carriers. 
 
You can find descriptions of those ships in Wikipedia.
 
As for the US Aircraft carriers - Soviet Forces were not going to sink them. The goal was to damage them and the repairs which would take months, would give enough time to conquer Europe.
An attack against US carriers would be made with conventional weapons but specially designed to attack them - and it wasnt suicide mission!
 
The attack was to be conducted by naval bombers The Tupolev 22 M (NATO NAME "Backfire") a supersonic swing-wing, long range strike bombers. They would be accompanied by TU 95 with radar platforms. The position of US aircraft carriers was known due to Soviet fleet of satelites.
Tu 22 M for attacking US aircraft carriers were to be armed with rockets AS-6 (NATO name "KINGFISH"). Each TU 22M could have carried 3 such missiles, each had conventional warhead 1 tone heavy. The missile had range of 300 nautical miles and speed 4-5 x the sonic speed. In each attack on US aircraft carrier would take part about 100 Tu 22 M, what was giving 300 missiles launched from the distance of 300 nm. The epxeriences of British navy from the Falkland war showned that those time it wasnt easy to defend the ship from much inferior french made single Exocete missile which wasnt even supersonic. Defending the ship from 300 supersonic missiles was that time impossible. The missiles would be launched moreless in the same time when US Fleet would discover attacking Soviet forces - which after launching would imidatelly retreat - with their supersonic speed.
 
As for tanks and T72 experiences in Iraq my friend told me to forget it. T 72 was an assault tank designed to fight in Europe, not in the desert. In Europe you got a lot of land obstacles, rivers, valeys, houses, forests, lakes etc. The tanks would fight on much closer range than 2,5 km and T 72 canon would destroy western tanks as easilly, as the western tanks were destroying T72's in Desert War.
 
 
As for this what Opuslola said about wire guided missles - the other side had them as well, just add 50% to recive the number of those missles possesed by WP.
Opuslola dont forget 1 thing - the enemy wasnt backward in rocketry - he was rather more advanced.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Edited by Mosquito - 15-Jul-2010 at 09:40
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  Quote opuslola Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 09:41
You might well be correct Mosquito? But, on what front would the WP armour attack? If it was directed across the mostly flat Northern plains, then the range superiority of the West would have again the edge!

Other directions of attack, would it seems place these armoured columns within large valleys, or having to cross large high ridges, or go around them! Again, wire guided anti-tank and anti-helo missisiles seem to be more important to the defender rather than the agressor! The defender already has his defensive positions marked and known like the back of his hand! And, I am sure "pre-ranging" of the cannon and tank cannon had already been calibrated to a "T!"

As I said earlier, it is my belief that the NATO forces had planned upon forcing WP forces into a field of fire from which they could not escape!

But, of course they could have been wrong, much like me?

Also, I might well suggest that large portions of Germany's vast highway system, might also have been reserved for both supply and runway support?

It also seems that the "kingfish" missile, had but a range of 185 miles or so! It seems that the outer defensive ring of a carrier fleet, whould have a long time to interfer with the bombers! Not even mentioning that these bombers would quite likely have no fighter support! It can also be considered that Western jamming, and other devices, might well have been more advanced that Soviet guidance systems?

So, outer ring of smaller crusiers, f-14's, FA-18's, and ship to air missiles? It might have been interesting?

Regards,

Edited by opuslola - 15-Jul-2010 at 09:48
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  Quote Maximus Germanicus I Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 09:48
However wire guided rockets are much better in the defensive. You also have to figire advancing tanks with a poor FSC which the T-72 had, really had no chance against a M1 or a Lep dug in. Remember the Allies would bb in defensive postures. The only thing you see on a dug in tank is the turrent, a small target. The T-72 would have to advance and get in range to even be effective and it wouldn't be able to.
 
The T-72 didn't have the range to hang with the M1-any other talk about the T-72 is pure hypothetical becuase they have faced eachother in combat and both the M1 and the Patton always won and won easily.
 
the T-72 and T-80 are both proven comabt failures where as the m1 the CH and the Lep are combat proven.
 
How do you figure the WP was more advanced in Rocketry-- Not even close, Comapre the UG to the 270 not even close.
 
Remember I am a Cav guy, I know about armor, and Rockets--the last good russian Tank was the T-55 (actually love the T-55) e/t else was junk.
 
Now your friend is right that Russias plan was to take Germany, Denmark and Norway--Germany yes would have fallen up to the Rhine at first, but the occupation would not be sustainable, and there would be no more Germany. Norway would not have fallen.
 
The US, GB and France would not have given up until Russia would have been done at that point.
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 09:51
Originally posted by opuslola

You might well be correct Mosquito? But, on what front would the WP armour attack? If it was directed across the mostly flat Northern plains, then the range superiority of the West would have again the edge!

Other directions of attack, would it seems place these armoured columns within large valleys, or having to cross large high ridges, or go around them! Again, wire guided anti-tank and anti-helo missisiles seem to be more important to the defender rather than the agressor! The defender already has his defensive positions marked and known like the back of his hand! And, I am sure "pre-ranging" of the cannon and tank cannon had already been calibrated to a "T!"

As I said earlier, it is my belief that the NATO forces had planned upon forcing WP forces into a field of fire from which they could not escape!

But, of course they could have been wrong, much like me?

Also, I might well suggest that large portions of Germany's vast highway system, might also have been reserved for both supply and runway support?

Regards,
 
Sorry Opuslola but I dont know all the answers. My friend is an expert and he says that WP had a great chance to win, but not in 1987, lets say rather up to 1985. He also confirmed my opinion about complete air superiority of WP in Europe. Its because western european countries neglected their airforces so much...
He also said that in our discussion the power of French army in years 1975-1985 was highly overrrated.
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  Quote Maximus Germanicus I Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 09:58
By the way if you think the Backfire would have got within 1500 miles of a US carrier group you are nuts. The Tomcat was and my opinion still is esp with the Phalnx the best AS aircraft ever.
 
By the way you know this is a two front war-The US carrier groups, along with B-2s and B-1s annihilate eastern USSR from the pacific to the URALS and there is nothing Russia can do to stop them becuase the B1s fly to high for the Manned AD and most of the Rocket Ad was already taken out by Stealth bombers anyway, with F-14 Air Sup systems escorted by F-18 SHs from the Carriers no Russain plan gets close. Then they land Marines and Armor. As well as the US PACOM divs
 
I can see the 9th Infantry (manchus) and the 7th ID (Wolfhounds), 25th ID (tropical lightning), 2nd BAT all marching thr the streets of Vladivostok (along withe the Aussies the NZ armies, who under the ANZAC pact are tied to NATO)


Edited by Maximus Germanicus I - 15-Jul-2010 at 10:00
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  Quote opuslola Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 09:58
And neither do I Mosquito!

But, speaking of wire guided anti-tank weapons, watch this;

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwSCsV2rGY8

Regards,
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:04
Originally posted by Maximus Germanicus I

By the way if you think the Backfire would have got within 1500 miles of a US carrier group you are nuts. The Tomcat was and my opinion still is esp with the Phalnx the best AS aircraft ever.
 
By the way you know this is a two front war-The US carrier groups, along with B-2s and B-1s annihilate eastern USSR from the pacific to the URALS and there is nothing Russia can do to stop them becuase the B1s fly to high for the Manned AD and most of the Rocket Ad was already taken out by Stealth bombers anyway, with F-14 Air Sup systems escorted by F-18 SHs from the Carriers no Russain plan gets close. Then they land Marines and Armor. As well as the US PACOM divs
 
I can see the 9th Infantry (manchus) and the 7th ID (Wolfhounds), 25th ID (tropical lightning), 2nd BAT all marching thr the streets of Vladivostok (along withe the Aussies the NZ armies, who under the ANZAC pact are tied to NATO)
 
Mac this is pure fantasy. Such operation wasnt even being prepared. You cant launch great invasion with thousands of troops and thousands miles of the ocean between to continents. But lets say that you have done it and occupied Vladivostok..... what next .... just thousands miles of land...... up to Ural with no chance to even supply the forces on the road. Noone ever tried to invade Russia from this side, even Japs.
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:08
Originally posted by opuslola

And neither do I Mosquito!

But, speaking of wire guided anti-tank weapons, watch this;

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwSCsV2rGY8

Regards,
This is nothing... the French made a far better one. Watch this.. but to the end pls :
 
 
 
 
 
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:09
Originally posted by Maximus Germanicus I

However wire guided rockets are much better in the defensive. You also have to figire advancing tanks with a poor FSC which the T-72 had, really had no chance against a M1 or a Lep dug in. Remember the Allies would bb in defensive postures. The only thing you see on a dug in tank is the turrent, a small target. The T-72 would have to advance and get in range to even be effective and it wouldn't be able to.
 
The T-72 didn't have the range to hang with the M1-any other talk about the T-72 is pure hypothetical becuase they have faced eachother in combat and both the M1 and the Patton always won and won easily.
 
the T-72 and T-80 are both proven comabt failures where as the m1 the CH and the Lep are combat proven.
 
How do you figure the WP was more advanced in Rocketry-- Not even close, Comapre the UG to the 270 not even close.
 
Remember I am a Cav guy, I know about armor, and Rockets--the last good russian Tank was the T-55 (actually love the T-55) e/t else was junk.
 
Affcourse you are right Max, especially about the tanks but still the Soviets had more tanks and in area such as Europe with a lot of land obstacles, buildings, forest etc they would often fight on much closer distance.
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  Quote opuslola Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:19
Before I let this go, I would like to point out again that my sources, indicated that the US Inteligence networks, figured out quite early that most WP divisions, were always more like "Potemkin villiages" than a real division! Always a lack of spare parts, routine maintainence mostly ignored, reports falsified all the way to the top, etc.!

Thus, on paper, and within the Kremlin walls, the WP was armed to the teeth, but when a "push" came to a "shove", they could not produce an effective division anywhere! Theft from army and air force supplies was a never ending thing, and since many division leaders were profiting from it, it was never really stopped!

My sources tended to think of everthing as in reality being about one half of what could have been used (by the WP forces), would really be usable in a combat situation!

Much the same could be said about the large number of Soviet ICBM's! These are very sensitive implements of war, and need a great deal of regular inspection and maintanence or they just will not work! Given the average moral of WP troops, it was expected that much of this work was merely done on paper!

I a nuke world war, I think the USA did not expect one half of the Soviet ICMB's would make it out of their holes, and much less hit a target thousands of miles away!

But, again, sources are merely sources!

You've got yours and I have mine, and Max has his!
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  Quote Maximus Germanicus I Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:21
Originally posted by Mosquito

Originally posted by Maximus Germanicus I

By the way if you think the Backfire would have got within 1500 miles of a US carrier group you are nuts. The Tomcat was and my opinion still is esp with the Phalnx the best AS aircraft ever.
 
By the way you know this is a two front war-The US carrier groups, along with B-2s and B-1s annihilate eastern USSR from the pacific to the URALS and there is nothing Russia can do to stop them becuase the B1s fly to high for the Manned AD and most of the Rocket Ad was already taken out by Stealth bombers anyway, with F-14 Air Sup systems escorted by F-18 SHs from the Carriers no Russain plan gets close. Then they land Marines and Armor. As well as the US PACOM divs
 
I can see the 9th Infantry (manchus) and the 7th ID (Wolfhounds), 25th ID (tropical lightning), 2nd BAT all marching thr the streets of Vladivostok (along withe the Aussies the NZ armies, who under the ANZAC pact are tied to NATO)
 
Mac this is pure fantasy. Such operation wasnt even being prepared. You cant launch great invasion with thousands of troops and thousands miles of the ocean between to continents. But lets say that you have done it and occupied Vladivostok..... what next .... just thousands miles of land...... up to Ural with no chance to even supply the forces on the road. Noone ever tried to invade Russia from this side, even Japs.
 
Actually it was. That was part if the deterent. All the units I mentioned were already in the PACCOM.
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  Quote DreamWeaver Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:22
Flicking through Hackettls Third World War of which I have a copy he gives the figure of 1150 fighters in Europe for the US alone, approx 1/2 of all NATO Fighters in Europe.

Can you identify these Mosquito? Were they F16's F14's et al?


Edited by DreamWeaver - 15-Jul-2010 at 10:25
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  Quote Mosquito Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:29
Originally posted by DreamWeaver

Flicking through Hackettls Third World War of which I have a copy he gives the figure of 1150 fighters in Europe for the US alone, approx 1/2 of all NATO Fighters in Europe.

Can you identify these Mosquito? Were they F16's F14's et al?
 
 
I will try but hard to get reliable data...
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  Quote opuslola Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:30
Of course here are the ones that the French wish you would watch!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H1u7iWVfdY&feature=related

Regarde' vous!
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  Quote DreamWeaver Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:31
Because currently you keep declaring that none of these aircraft were in Europe. Yet these aircraft were the core of the USAF in ther period in question. That is unless you are saying the USAF was not in europe at all at this time, is that what you are saying?
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  Quote Maximus Germanicus I Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:33
Training Exercise "Seven Days to the River Rhine"
Part of Cold War
Date 1979
Location NATO/Warsaw Pact border in Germany
Result Unknown; never attempted.
Territorial
changes
West Germany east of River Rhine to the Warsaw Pact
Belligerents
Warsaw Pact North Atlantic Treaty Organisation
Commanders
N/A January-June: Gen. Alexander M Haig, Jr, June- December: General Bernard B. Rogers, (SACEUR)
Casualties and losses
If carried out, most of the Polish population (a estimated 2,000,000 immediate Polish deaths near the Vistula river) and possibly many East Germans. If carried out, heavy losses in West Germany, amongst others.
Now this is scary
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  Quote Maximus Germanicus I Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Jul-2010 at 10:35
Mosq doesn't figure they can fly from The US to GB in less than 12 hrs. So really every US plane is on the Table.
 
 
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