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who will be in ww3

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  Quote Vivek Sharma Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: who will be in ww3
    Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 01:05
Rather than US & China, the war would be with common enemies. The biggest group of nations affected by something (terrorism / oil shortage for eg.) will fight with the biggest common enemy.

It may very well be a war not against a group of nations but agaist some evil forces like Osama,s Al Qaida terror network.
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  Quote Greek Hoplite Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 03:55
Originally posted by Desperado

 
   Well, an alien invasion is not impossible So my choice is the PEA(the planet Earth alliance) vs EAI(the Evil alien invaders)
 
In my opinion there are no alliens and if everything will happen it ll happen in earthTongue
and pray never to come wwIII because all we ll have to fight and there ll be millions of deadsThumbs Down


Edited by Greek Hoplite - 13-Sep-2006 at 03:59
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  Quote Vivek Sharma Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 04:04
It may be between netizens & citizens !
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  Quote Leonidas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 04:42
who? almost eveyone direct or indirect.. if it is going to earn that title
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 07:12
 
Originally posted by Adalwolf


What is insane about people wanting their country to be self sufficient?
It's insane in the way that people who go off to the wilderness somewhere and try to set up self-sufficient communities are.
 
You can't be self-sufficient in the modern world.
 
Civilisation advances through increasing interdependence and specialisation. You couldn't find a country less self-sufficient than Luxembourg but it's the richest per capita society on earth.
 
(Not that that's a measure of civilisation. But it would certainly be insane to give it all up just to want to be self-sufficient.)
 
 
 
I see nothing wrong with that, in fact, that would ease many of the problems in the world. I disagree that International Organizations are a blessing. International organizations are pretty much useless. They have no way to impose their rules without support of great powers.
Cry
 
 They also interfere with the sovereignity states.
 
And that's the good thing about them.


Edited by gcle2003 - 13-Sep-2006 at 07:12
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  Quote Vivek Sharma Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 07:50
Luxembourg is a tiny playground for countries like US, China, etc.. I am talking about size. You cant expect the same standards of prosparity over a wide geographical area.
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  Quote Adalwolf Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 13-Sep-2006 at 15:34
Originally posted by gcle2003

 
Originally posted by Adalwolf


What is insane about people wanting their country to be self sufficient?
It's insane in the way that people who go off to the wilderness somewhere and try to set up self-sufficient communities are.
 
You can't be self-sufficient in the modern world.
 
Civilisation advances through increasing interdependence and specialisation. You couldn't find a country less self-sufficient than Luxembourg but it's the richest per capita society on earth.
 
(Not that that's a measure of civilisation. But it would certainly be insane to give it all up just to want to be self-sufficient.)
 
 
 
I see nothing wrong with that, in fact, that would ease many of the problems in the world. I disagree that International Organizations are a blessing. International organizations are pretty much useless. They have no way to impose their rules without support of great powers.
Cry
 
 They also interfere with the sovereignity states.
 
And that's the good thing about them.


I know that it would be impossible to be completely self-suffecient, but countries can sure try to be as self-sufficient as possible. That would reduce the risk of flucuations on supplies, markets, etc having devastating effects on country's economies.

Why the tears, and why is interefering with the sovereignity of states a good thing?
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  Quote Vivek Sharma Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14-Sep-2006 at 01:24
Read "The world is flat". Perfect answer to this question.
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14-Sep-2006 at 09:38
Originally posted by Vivek Sharma

Read "The world is flat". Perfect answer to this question.
?
Luxembourg is a tiny playground for countries like US, China, etc..
I don't know what you mean by that either. 'Tiny' I will grant, but 'playground?'
 
I am talking about size. You cant expect the same standards of prosparity over a wide geographical area.
Of course. My point was that you don't have to be self-sufficient to be prosperous. Granted it's easier for small countries, which is partly why I choose to live in one.
 
On the whole I'm usually pleased when big countries break up into smaller ones.


Edited by gcle2003 - 14-Sep-2006 at 09:44
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14-Sep-2006 at 09:53
 
Originally posted by Adalwolf


I know that it would be impossible to be completely self-suffecient, but countries can sure try to be as self-sufficient as possible. That would reduce the risk of flucuations on supplies, markets, etc having devastating effects on country's economies.
And increase the risk of international conflict, wars and stuff which are even more disastrous for humanity (though occasionally they make money for people Wink)
 
Being 'self-sufficient' actually increases your dependence on things like harvests and metereological cycles and other causes of fluctuations. If you're 'self-sufficient' in agriculture, and there's a drought, then you are even more dependent on wheat from other countries than you would be if the whole agriculture process was internationalised originally.
 
The only was forward is for increased interdependence. Attempts to be self-sufficient are just attempts to turn back a clock that is better left to run its natural course.


Why the tears,
International organizations aren't powerful enough to bank heads together in places like Darfur.
 
 and why is interefering with the sovereignity of states a good thing?
 
Well, of course it depends on the interference I suppose. But compelling members of the UN to live up to the UN Charter that they all supposedly believe in would be a significant advance on the way things are now.
 
Most things wrong with the world are attributable either to nationalism or religious factionalism. Getting rid of both is possibly an unattainable ideal, but it is still an ideal.


Edited by gcle2003 - 14-Sep-2006 at 09:53
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  Quote Adalwolf Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14-Sep-2006 at 16:58
Originally posted by gcle2003

 
Originally posted by Adalwolf


I know that it would be impossible to be completely self-suffecient, but countries can sure try to be as self-sufficient as possible. That would reduce the risk of flucuations on supplies, markets, etc having devastating effects on country's economies.
And increase the risk of international conflict, wars and stuff which are even more disastrous for humanity (though occasionally they make money for people Wink)
 
Being 'self-sufficient' actually increases your dependence on things like harvests and metereological cycles and other causes of fluctuations. If you're 'self-sufficient' in agriculture, and there's a drought, then you are even more dependent on wheat from other countries than you would be if the whole agriculture process was internationalised originally.
 
The only was forward is for increased interdependence. Attempts to be self-sufficient are just attempts to turn back a clock that is better left to run its natural course.


Why the tears,
International organizations aren't powerful enough to bank heads together in places like Darfur.
 
 and why is interefering with the sovereignity of states a good thing?
 
Well, of course it depends on the interference I suppose. But compelling members of the UN to live up to the UN Charter that they all supposedly believe in would be a significant advance on the way things are now.
 
Most things wrong with the world are attributable either to nationalism or religious factionalism. Getting rid of both is possibly an unattainable ideal, but it is still an ideal.


And I think interdependence is worthless. It weakens nations and weak people. Why do anything if you know someone else will just pick up the slack for you? Nations should be self-sufficient. Those that are will be successful and survive, and those that aren't will fail.

For large countries, like the U.S., agricultural self-sufficiency should be no problem, if it is at all. I agree, however, that it would be fairly hard for small nations to be self-suffient in many areas. That does not, however, mean that the concept of self-sufficieny is wrong for large nation, such as the U.S., which have many of the natural resources needed to be self-sufficient.

Bah, the UN...a worthless, corrupt, and unequal system if there ever was one. The world would be better without this pathetic and powerless organization. It has no way to enforce its rules. The U.N. relies on the support of the great powers, and is powerless without their support.

Nationalism can be a problem...in extreme cases, like Japan in WW2, but there is nothing inherently wrong in the concept of nationalism. What's wrong with people loving and supporting their country? Nothing.

Religious factionalism does cause problems, but it has always caused problems, and will always cause problems.


Edited by Adalwolf - 14-Sep-2006 at 18:56
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Sep-2006 at 05:31
 
Originally posted by Adalwolf

And I think interdependence is worthless. It weakens nations and weak people. Why do anything if you know someone else will just pick up the slack for you? Nations should be self-sufficient. Those that are will be successful and survive, and those that aren't will fail.
Actually it's the other way around. Countries that refuse to face up to the future and attempt through self-sufficiency to go back to a vanished age will fail against countries that do face the future and learn the lessons of working together.


For large countries, like the U.S., agricultural self-sufficiency should be no problem, if it is at all.
 
The US may be able to achieve agricultural self-sufficiency. But it is not self-sufficient in most minerals and energy resources, and is anyway dependent on other countries for its markets so that it can pay for what it needs to import. in fact it's not at the moment even self-sufficient in labour.
 
It certainly cannot be self-sufficient while it tries to maintain its armed forces at the size they are.
 
 I agree, however, that it would be fairly hard for small nations to be self-suffient in many areas. That does not, however, mean that the concept of self-sufficieny is wrong for large nation, such as the U.S., which have many of the natural resources needed to be self-sufficient.
Many, but not enough. The difficulty with large countries is that, though they may in theory be able to produce more, they also need to consume a lot more. The only way to be self-sufficient is to give up most of the things most people think they need, and return to near-subsistence economies.
 
That would actually be easier, if anything, for a small country. Maybe Samoa could do it. 

Bah, the UN...a worthless, corrupt, and unequal system if there ever was one. The world would be better without this pathetic and powerless organization. It has no way to enforce its rules.
Then give it them. You can't criticise an institution for not having powers you refuse to give it.
 
 The U.N. relies on the support of the great powers, and is powerless without their support.

Nationalism can be a problem...in extreme cases, like Japan in WW2, but there is nothing inherently wrong in the concept of nationalism. What's wrong with people loving and supporting their country? Nothing.
What's wrong is putting down other countries.


Religious factionalism does cause problems, but it has always caused problems, and will always cause problems.
 
Same is true of nationalism. I don't mean one cannot have loyalty to one's family, tribe or whatever. The problem is focussing that loyalty exclusively or primarily on the nation state, a form of organisation that has passed its sell-by date.
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  Quote Vivek Sharma Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Sep-2006 at 06:41
Originally posted by gcle2003

Originally posted by Vivek Sharma

Read "The world is flat". Perfect answer to this question.
?
Luxembourg is a tiny playground for countries like US, China, etc..
I don't know what you mean by that either. 'Tiny' I will grant, but 'playground?'
 
I am talking about size. You cant expect the same standards of prosparity over a wide geographical area.
Of course. My point was that you don't have to be self-sufficient to be prosperous. Granted it's easier for small countries, which is partly why I choose to live in one.
 
On the whole I'm usually pleased when big countries break up into smaller ones.


On the whole I agree with you. 'The world is Flat' is a best selling book by Thomas Friedman, three times winner of the Pulitzer prize.  Its a wonderful book about the subject of modern economics, self sufficiency, dependence, future of economy etc..

By playground I was only referring to the size.
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  Quote Anton Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Sep-2006 at 13:28
That is sort of silly question but..
 
Originally posted by J.M.Finegold

And I'm sure a growing nation like China, with an economic becoming more and more petroleum based, will suddenly feel severe problems when there is no petroleum left.  Given it's large army and the fact that it can't demobilize it given the bad effects of having violent people without job occupations ... I don't doubt China would stir up trouble to take the people's minds off probable loss of population in massive proportions, the lack of economic progress, et cetera.
 
That is exactly my point. We were tought in the Uni that WWs were started by country that has good economics but not much resources. That is why Russia will never start WW as some rusophobic people claim here. Wink
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  Quote Red4tribe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 15-Sep-2006 at 22:11
World War 3,if it happens, will likley havethe United States a couple other countries agansit the whole muslim world.
Had this day been wanting, the world had never seen the last stage of perfection to which human nature is capable of attaining.

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  Quote Penelope Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16-Sep-2006 at 01:43
To a certain extent, the ENTIRE world will be involved.
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  Quote gcle2003 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16-Sep-2006 at 08:45
Originally posted by Vivek Sharma


On the whole I agree with you. 'The world is Flat' is a best selling book by Thomas Friedman, three times winner of the Pulitzer prize.  Its a wonderful book about the subject of modern economics, self sufficiency, dependence, future of economy etc..
 
I read Friedman in the Herald Tribune. Don't always agree with him, but he's respectable certainly.
 

By playground I was only referring to the size.
 
Size isn't everything. Now the smoke and fury have died down, where has Mittal Steel chosen to locate itself?
 
And, incidentally, up to two years ago, the euro zone rotated the spokesman's position between the countries. Then they changed the system to have a permanent 'single voice'.
 
They chose the Luxembourg Finance Minister, Jean-Claude Juncker, and this week he was reappointed for another two years.
 
Sometimes smart is better than big.
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  Quote Peter III Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 16-Sep-2006 at 19:54

This is how I see it.

Russia will slowly seperate itself from western politics and begin to support China. After a firm alliance with China is made, Russia will begin to support other "anti-western" nations such as Venezuela, Bolivia and certain fragile African governments. These nations will begin to form their own organization such as NATO and will begin to focus their trading between member governments. Eventually this new grouping of countries will begin to support the Middle East.
 
China and Russia will begin to supply aid and weapons to Middle Eastern nations while the United States will continue to support Israel and its "anti-terrorism" campaign in the Middle East. At the same time, Israel will worsen its image throughout the Muslim world, and many nations (i.e. Saudi Arabia) will begin to stop trading crude oil with the United States. The Middle East will then begin to side with China, Russia, etc., which will cause one united group of nations to rule over nearly all oil reserves. The United States will have nearly no oil, just a little from Saudi Arabia, Africa, and some on American soil. This also goes for nations in Europe and any supporters of the United States. Nations that support Russia, China, etc. will become extremely rich due to their inflated prices on crude and other industries/resources.
 
Its far fetched but I like it. Big smile


Edited by Peter III - 16-Sep-2006 at 19:57
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  Quote xristar Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17-Sep-2006 at 05:22
I think Russia is really trying to come closer to Europe. The Russians are constantly pressing Greece to buy russian weapons, and many say that is because if Greece buys russian weapons (apart from the AT and AA missiles, which Greece has already bought), weapons like Su-35, tanks or IFV, Greece as a european country and member of NATO will open the way for the russian market to the west.
Russia (a russian company) bought a part of EADS, which shows the will of Russia to enter the european armaments industry.


Edited by xristar - 17-Sep-2006 at 05:23

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Victory needs none.
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  Quote Leonidas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 17-Sep-2006 at 08:07
i dont see russia being genuinely close with china, they are a conveniant bed fellow for now. China is just as much a long term threat to russia as any power though fopr now the USA is the most immediate threat.

Russian will be playing the chinese agianst the japanese which would give the russians what it needs including good $$ for its resources
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